{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96e937d0-9cf9-47ff-9bfe-602ccf518e95", "symbol": "300125", "name": "Lingda Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -3.571, "architecture_energy": 25.31, "architecture_maturity": 13.411, "architecture_confidence": 45.382, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.31, "rotation_up": 19.85, "upward_expansion": 20.97, "deceleration": 52.76, "rotation_down": 51.11, "downward_expansion": 43.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.626, 8.798364, 9.215286, 9.170366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.77, "trend_reference": 8.941667, "distance_from_trend": 0.092637, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.110641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.20459, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.372408, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.29404, "excess_performance": 0.28664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092637, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011615, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.20459, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043454, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.083724, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065389, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.29404, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.478849, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44259687, "relative_activity": 1.683846, "balance": 1.478849, "dry_up": 0.988084, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108338, "annualized_volatility": 0.478991, "from_high_reference": -0.164957, "from_low_reference": 0.432551 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.941667, "fair_value_reference": 8.110641, "structural_low": 6.9, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.077052, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.058766, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.262945, "worst_return": 0.039672, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.313269, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.259073, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.343042, "worst_return": -0.007376, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.103967, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.133235, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.597087, "worst_return": -0.110643, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.779935, 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"end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.045767, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.068627, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.131327, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.164238, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001203, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.069042, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.774114, "energy": 53.7736, "activity_lines": [ 8.334667, 8.877273, 9.272952, 9.156172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.18, "volume": 17458903, "typical_volume": 25539787.15, "trend": 8.870333, "fair_value": 8.152692, "relative_strength": -4.267958, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.353178, "energy": 54.397084, "activity_lines": [ 8.171333, 8.670909, 9.166952, 9.112323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.77, "volume": 44259687, "typical_volume": 26284878.7, "trend": 8.941667, "fair_value": 8.110641, "relative_strength": 8.372408, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.570832, "energy": 25.309961, "activity_lines": [ 8.626, 8.798364, 9.215286, 9.170366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }