{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96f11bbd-40ae-466c-91ee-a9a956d5a784", "symbol": "FLRT", "name": "PACER ARISTOTLE PACIFIC FLOATING RATE HIGH INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.983, "architecture_energy": 82.049, "architecture_maturity": 6.856, "architecture_confidence": 74.354, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.4, "rotation_up": 73.04, "upward_expansion": 94.22, "deceleration": 42.42, "rotation_down": 15.62, "downward_expansion": 18.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.648734, 46.575955, 46.499993, 46.376629 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 46.75, "trend_reference": 46.255073, "distance_from_trend": 0.0107, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.131069, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.083905, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.398521, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0113, "excess_performance": -0.114325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0107, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005108, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.083905, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012169, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000395, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0113, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.18388, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 664172, "relative_activity": 1.268635, "balance": 2.18388, "dry_up": 0.99632, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003298, "annualized_volatility": 0.019795, "from_high_reference": -0.001282, "from_low_reference": 0.04087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.255073, "fair_value_reference": 43.131069, "structural_low": 45.3621, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 51, "median_return": 0.005203, "positive_rate": 0.803922, "directional_follow_through": 0.803922, "median_excess_return": -0.008686, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.027469, "worst_return": -0.013777, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.016683, "positive_rate": 0.941176, "directional_follow_through": 0.941176, "median_excess_return": -0.009794, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.048516, "worst_return": -0.005188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.033443, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.063163, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.074803, "worst_return": -0.070956, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.02169, "energy": 60.69868, "activity_lines": [ 46.539274, 46.511911, 46.428763, 46.316973 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.63, "volume": 562973, "typical_volume": 508523.65, "trend": 46.236825, "fair_value": 43.073044, "relative_strength": -6.749126, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.03544, "energy": 69.366164, "activity_lines": [ 46.583513, 46.534116, 46.460955, 46.343521 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.75, "volume": 664172, "typical_volume": 523532.6, "trend": 46.255073, "fair_value": 43.131069, "relative_strength": -9.398521, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.982985, "energy": 82.048979, "activity_lines": [ 46.648734, 46.575955, 46.499993, 46.376629 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }