{ "ticker": { "uuid": "96fef6b9-fb7b-4daf-962f-8d16392900ee", "symbol": "PLSV", "name": "PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.01, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 28.783, "architecture_energy": 22.08, "architecture_maturity": 24.461, "architecture_confidence": 45.053, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.16, "rotation_up": 53.06, "upward_expansion": 44.66, "deceleration": 43.71, "rotation_down": 24.57, "downward_expansion": 12.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.289999, 46.675454, 46.848445, 46.751713 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 48.349998, "trend_reference": 46.7318, "distance_from_trend": 0.034627, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.177255, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094455, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.95574, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.018329, "excess_performance": -0.106664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034627, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025662, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.094455, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001637, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029557, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036147, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018329, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.970683, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1132307, "relative_activity": 0.861403, "balance": 0.970683, "dry_up": 0.684949, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041806, "annualized_volatility": 0.256308, "from_high_reference": -0.065879, "from_low_reference": 0.287405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.7318, "fair_value_reference": 44.177255, "structural_low": 41.34, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.015234, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.018761, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.015234, "worst_return": -0.015234, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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46.511295 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.099998, "volume": 1059776, "typical_volume": 1323254.15, "trend": 46.482436, "fair_value": 44.106654, "relative_strength": -4.618532, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.80522, "energy": 12.759702, "activity_lines": [ 45.956666, 46.057116, 46.54623, 46.560082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.700001, "volume": 712016, "typical_volume": 1308282.6, "trend": 46.59728, "fair_value": 44.139321, "relative_strength": -3.917103, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.665712, "energy": 8.107514, "activity_lines": [ 46.583333, 46.293729, 46.674528, 46.638635 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.349998, "volume": 1132307, "typical_volume": 1314491.75, "trend": 46.7318, "fair_value": 44.177255, "relative_strength": -2.95574, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.783187, "energy": 22.080293, "activity_lines": [ 47.289999, 46.675454, 46.848445, 46.751713 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }