{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9702a639-b786-477b-90de-7c18eae0f443",
    "symbol": "CHI",
    "name": "Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited",
    "exchange": "NZE",
    "country": "NZ",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NZ50",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.653,
    "architecture_energy": 70.594,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.787,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.778,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.56,
        "rotation_up": 71.5,
        "upward_expansion": 91.04,
        "deceleration": 44.05,
        "rotation_down": 13.25,
        "downward_expansion": 15.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.366,
        3.304,
        3.229952,
        3.151539
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.38,
    "trend_reference": 3.045479,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109842,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.970976,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.714887,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 15.464403,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.224512,
    "excess_performance": 0.196239,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109842,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064208,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.714887,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002255,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154644,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075464,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.224512,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.598269,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1514340,
      "relative_activity": 0.743253,
      "balance": 2.598269,
      "dry_up": 0.672756,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041875,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.224048,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034286,
      "from_low_reference": 0.710781
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.045479,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.970976,
      "structural_low": 2.535949,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 49,
        "median_return": 0.020619,
        "positive_rate": 0.693878,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.693878,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025264,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.181525,
        "worst_return": -0.112245,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.087219,
        "positive_rate": 0.8125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
        "median_excess_return": 0.089627,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.191667,
        "worst_return": -0.060905,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.183333,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.164555,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.415976,
        "worst_return": -0.03824,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.404404,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.348701,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.499998,
        "worst_return": -0.028536,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006896,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.072357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.179088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.128572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.215897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.053638,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2371231.25,
        "trend": 3.010643,
        "fair_value": 1.944546,
        "relative_strength": 18.521539,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.41,
        "volume": 1201599,
        "typical_volume": 2187037.95,
        "trend": 3.029374,
        "fair_value": 1.957884,
        "relative_strength": 18.510967,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 75.587452,
        "energy": 71.867531,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.336,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.38,
        "volume": 1514340,
        "typical_volume": 2037449.55,
        "trend": 3.045479,
        "fair_value": 1.970976,
        "relative_strength": 15.464403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.653071,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}