{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "97118540-205d-444b-9489-5e6185004184",
    "symbol": "VNCE",
    "name": "Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.355,
    "architecture_energy": 40.344,
    "architecture_maturity": 83.988,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.179,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.62,
        "rotation_up": 42.82,
        "upward_expansion": 67.39,
        "deceleration": 64.63,
        "rotation_down": 26.09,
        "downward_expansion": 17.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.407,
        6.454545,
        5.765143,
        5.067355
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 6.76,
    "trend_reference": 4.229833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.598172,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.634932,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.565531,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 66.631125,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.620155,
    "excess_performance": 1.432701,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.598172,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.309789,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.565531,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.681201,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.666311,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136012,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.620155,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.781085,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 347540,
      "relative_activity": 0.350414,
      "balance": 1.781085,
      "dry_up": 0.397493,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.162494,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.999989,
      "from_high_reference": -0.17561,
      "from_low_reference": 4.28125
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.229833,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.634932,
      "structural_low": 1.95,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.0964,
        "positive_rate": 0.083333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.083333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102316,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.535308,
        "worst_return": -0.420339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.434368,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.38966,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.456897,
        "worst_return": -0.589212,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.592798,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.626375,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.242812,
        "worst_return": -0.705394,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.063712,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.267281,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.063712,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 125.373032,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 90.527512,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 957451.6,
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        "fair_value": 2.545221,
        "relative_strength": 69.66628,
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        "energy": 80.493833,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 485204,
        "typical_volume": 968855.75,
        "trend": 3.995667,
        "fair_value": 2.566695,
        "relative_strength": 76.563891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.12721,
        "energy": 64.650023,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.265619,
          4.624538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.935,
        "volume": 406306,
        "typical_volume": 980464.3,
        "trend": 4.047167,
        "fair_value": 2.58615,
        "relative_strength": 61.831115,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.975308,
        "energy": 47.109976,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.371667,
          6.226,
          5.40981,
          4.749656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.33,
        "volume": 337881,
        "typical_volume": 984392.5,
        "trend": 4.1185,
        "fair_value": 2.609355,
        "relative_strength": 67.777883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.479213,
        "energy": 37.219146,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.27,
          6.320455,
          5.576119,
          4.896935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.76,
        "volume": 347540,
        "typical_volume": 991798.55,
        "trend": 4.229833,
        "fair_value": 2.634932,
        "relative_strength": 66.631125,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.354933,
        "energy": 40.344036,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.067355
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}