{ "ticker": { "uuid": "971228b8-471e-42f2-9704-9a364f24b8ac", "symbol": "605166", "name": "Juheshun Advanced Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.988, "architecture_energy": 71.671, "architecture_maturity": 24.535, "architecture_confidence": 90.494, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.66, "rotation_up": 12.74, "upward_expansion": 16.14, "deceleration": 39.18, "rotation_down": 69.28, "downward_expansion": 89.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.32, 8.651502, 9.457689, 9.853811 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.67, "trend_reference": 10.280858, "distance_from_trend": -0.156685, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.44373, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.169837, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.90556, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.196478, "excess_performance": -0.153274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156685, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051992, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.169837, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.290495, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189056, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134899, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.196478, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.491925, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21560500, "relative_activity": 0.741149, "balance": 0.491925, "dry_up": 0.790694, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10717, "annualized_volatility": 0.403114, "from_high_reference": -0.36437, "from_low_reference": 0.157543 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.280858, "fair_value_reference": 10.44373, "structural_low": 7.49, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.023189, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.012093, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.205479, "worst_return": -0.104145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.017004, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.047122, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.579866, "worst_return": -0.145929, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.051591, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.107936, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.451685, "worst_return": -0.213779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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8.305333, 8.916886, 9.757077, 10.088631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.43, "volume": 20718555, "typical_volume": 29422197.9, "trend": 10.337525, "fair_value": 10.447955, "relative_strength": -19.472565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.589724, "energy": 81.408286, "activity_lines": [ 8.237333, 8.736828, 9.589574, 9.961393 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.67, "volume": 21560500, "typical_volume": 29090629.55, "trend": 10.280858, "fair_value": 10.44373, "relative_strength": -18.90556, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.987657, "energy": 71.670697, "activity_lines": [ 8.32, 8.651502, 9.457689, 9.853811 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }