{ "ticker": { "uuid": "971769dc-fa23-4bc5-8264-0fd67951885a", "symbol": "1259", "name": "An-Shin Food Services Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 62.471, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 57.939, "architecture_energy": 64.224, "architecture_maturity": 18.639, "architecture_confidence": 58.521, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.11, "rotation_up": 73.2, "upward_expansion": 62.32, "deceleration": 21.15, "rotation_down": 17.17, "downward_expansion": 20.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.28, 59.895762, 58.71287, 58.558999 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 65.0, "trend_reference": 58.664689, "distance_from_trend": 0.107992, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 63.106164, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03001, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.003056, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.088086, "excess_performance": -0.353286, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107992, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009577, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.03001, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128429, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.220031, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111315, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088086, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.703734, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 150222, "relative_activity": 2.468351, "balance": 3.703734, "dry_up": 1.533584, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042899, "annualized_volatility": 0.194854, "from_high_reference": -0.004899, "from_low_reference": 0.187357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.664689, "fair_value_reference": 63.106164, "structural_low": 54.743447, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.001333, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.004027, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.092437, "worst_return": -0.048465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.001613, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.078986, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.050847, "worst_return": -0.032787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.01713, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.154942, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.073421, "worst_return": -0.066503, "sufficient": false }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.012, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.020581, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.116968, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016949, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"relative_strength": -27.153579, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.317321, "energy": 19.039033, "activity_lines": [ 58.940001, 58.279411, 57.815701, 58.048506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.0, "volume": 52997, "typical_volume": 53798.3, "trend": 58.528459, "fair_value": 63.129834, "relative_strength": -26.116428, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.559347, "energy": 33.802813, "activity_lines": [ 59.386667, 58.658571, 58.031011, 58.14148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 65.0, "volume": 150222, "typical_volume": 60859.25, "trend": 58.664689, "fair_value": 63.106164, "relative_strength": -22.003056, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.939474, "energy": 64.224183, "activity_lines": [ 61.28, 59.895762, 58.71287, 58.558999 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }