{ "ticker": { "uuid": "972c4df7-2a39-4d9f-8504-1e7f1ea77be2", "symbol": "QUIK", "name": "QuickLogic Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.637, "architecture_energy": 23.137, "architecture_maturity": 46.811, "architecture_confidence": 72.36, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.2, "rotation_up": 14.27, "upward_expansion": 42.89, "deceleration": 82.07, "rotation_down": 46.37, "downward_expansion": 36.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.644667, 15.143818, 16.471762, 15.288172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.52, "trend_reference": 13.353333, "distance_from_trend": 0.087369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.747596, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.489598, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.749891, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.04507, "excess_performance": 0.857617, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.343506, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.489598, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.734875, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.267499, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.980554, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.04507, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.601907, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 947470, "relative_activity": 0.425704, "balance": 0.601907, "dry_up": 0.639899, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.242169, "annualized_volatility": 0.697172, "from_high_reference": -0.403206, "from_low_reference": 2.025 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.353333, "fair_value_reference": 9.747596, "structural_low": 6.58, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.083697, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.069159, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.310717, "worst_return": -0.085507, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.024171, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.047091, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.416774, "worst_return": -0.108696, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.04356, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103752, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.661935, "worst_return": -0.319099, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.044574, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.22335, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.250914, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.082391, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.038732, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.060127, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102564, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.341812, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.834701, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.116923, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 7.75, "volume": 409396, "typical_volume": 197143.1, "trend": 6.64831, "fair_value": 5.876144, "relative_strength": 4.261216, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.253521, "energy": 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21.719988, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.603167, "energy": 22.171635, "activity_lines": [ 15.641333, 17.648727, 17.058952, 15.187054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.66, "volume": 1408981, "typical_volume": 2213093.35, "trend": 12.901, "fair_value": 9.669583, "relative_strength": 19.339276, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.943293, "energy": 23.97573, "activity_lines": [ 14.188, 16.553273, 16.808952, 15.184925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.11, "volume": 1672824, "typical_volume": 2232707.25, "trend": 13.128667, "fair_value": 9.701955, "relative_strength": 21.716907, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.081557, "energy": 25.723827, "activity_lines": [ 13.500667, 15.656727, 16.583, 15.198409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.52, "volume": 947470, "typical_volume": 2225656.0, "trend": 13.353333, "fair_value": 9.747596, "relative_strength": 26.749891, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.636836, "energy": 23.136616, "activity_lines": [ 13.644667, 15.143818, 16.471762, 15.288172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }