{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97303bef-5043-4a08-984d-b273d807d71b", "symbol": "WAYS", "name": "Waystream Holding AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.082, "architecture_energy": 33.605, "architecture_maturity": 10.418, "architecture_confidence": 93.206, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.37, "rotation_up": 20.08, "upward_expansion": 3.94, "deceleration": 48.47, "rotation_down": 49.92, "downward_expansion": 77.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.106667, 39.210909, 39.983333, 40.317634 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.0, "trend_reference": 40.566667, "distance_from_trend": -0.03862, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.3725, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37457, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.482042, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.064748, "excess_performance": -0.126243, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03862, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031094, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.37457, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056376, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083145, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.064748, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.752863, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20025, "relative_activity": 0.621998, "balance": 0.752863, "dry_up": 0.796514, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04714, "annualized_volatility": 0.246361, "from_high_reference": -0.131403, "from_low_reference": 0.258065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.566667, "fair_value_reference": 28.3725, "structural_low": 34.099998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.044906, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.043619, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.47019, "worst_return": -0.364732, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.019277, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.047343, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.355168, "worst_return": -0.456701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.152, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.17717, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.870588, "worst_return": -0.484536, "sufficient": true 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"volume": 33383, "typical_volume": 35931.2, "trend": 40.616667, "fair_value": 28.230192, "relative_strength": -5.978746, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.042215, "energy": 59.768377, "activity_lines": [ 39.000001, 39.56, 40.312857, 40.51785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.099998, "volume": 23343, "typical_volume": 34793.7, "trend": 40.586667, "fair_value": 28.299744, "relative_strength": -8.871767, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.40861, "energy": 46.34317, "activity_lines": [ 39.053333, 39.365454, 40.152381, 40.42 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.0, "volume": 20025, "typical_volume": 32194.65, "trend": 40.566667, "fair_value": 28.3725, "relative_strength": -10.482042, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.082465, "energy": 33.604799, "activity_lines": [ 39.106667, 39.210909, 39.983333, 40.317634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }