{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97777774-f478-4117-9120-8757f9af0116", "symbol": "300553", "name": "Hangzhou Jizhi Mechatronic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 57.227, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.525, "architecture_energy": 37.983, "architecture_maturity": 67.532, "architecture_confidence": 55.637, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.83, "rotation_up": 16.68, "upward_expansion": 19.78, "deceleration": 70.1, "rotation_down": 66.25, "downward_expansion": 42.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.298667, 55.950727, 58.236246, 55.034745 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 45.849998, "trend_reference": 51.32392, "distance_from_trend": -0.106654, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.312733, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.376351, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.171891, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.068115, "excess_performance": 0.060716, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.106654, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188114, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.376351, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.409466, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.021719, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157715, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.068115, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.199971, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26334892, "relative_activity": 1.349739, "balance": 1.199971, "dry_up": 1.493935, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.260843, "annualized_volatility": 0.939553, "from_high_reference": -0.454102, "from_low_reference": 0.42327 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.32392, "fair_value_reference": 33.312733, "structural_low": 33.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.093205, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.029405, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.176094, "worst_return": -0.125957, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.104062, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.048243, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.142142, "worst_return": -0.001231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.004174, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.077398, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.037883, "worst_return": -0.086816, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.663309, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.174457, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116284, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.157091, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.006695, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.242417, 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 57.279999, "volume": 28125952, "typical_volume": 16633501.7, "trend": 51.058523, "fair_value": 33.280075, "relative_strength": 26.625077, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.726117, "energy": 43.256328, "activity_lines": [ 69.455334, 69.255519, 62.133784, 56.918736 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.580002, "volume": 34693621, "typical_volume": 17743050.6, "trend": 51.242473, "fair_value": 33.298926, "relative_strength": -8.28231, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.018703, "energy": 14.169217, "activity_lines": [ 59.376668, 64.400126, 60.854086, 56.307218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.810001, "volume": 27438790, "typical_volume": 18608785.85, "trend": 51.140856, "fair_value": 33.272654, "relative_strength": -17.316207, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.44827, "energy": 34.913726, "activity_lines": [ 50.109334, 59.077273, 59.111, 55.376091 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.849998, "volume": 26334892, "typical_volume": 19511094.65, "trend": 51.32392, "fair_value": 33.312733, "relative_strength": -2.171891, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.525091, "energy": 37.982992, "activity_lines": [ 46.298667, 55.950727, 58.236246, 55.034745 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }