{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97783720-2d68-4a02-84db-dd986430a80e", "symbol": "002287", "name": "Tibet Cheezheng Tibetan Medicine Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.563, "architecture_energy": 22.441, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.075, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.55, "rotation_up": 30.16, "upward_expansion": 19.49, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 23.13, "downward_expansion": 55.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.726667, 20.374763, 20.689096, 21.354364 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 20.98, "trend_reference": 22.293863, "distance_from_trend": -0.058934, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.193868, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.054694, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.714795, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.123642, "excess_performance": -0.131042, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058934, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063993, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.054694, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064357, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.157148, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109554, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.123642, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.638466, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10766331, "relative_activity": 1.172223, "balance": 0.638466, "dry_up": 1.886678, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056727, "annualized_volatility": 0.241183, "from_high_reference": -0.445669, "from_low_reference": 0.129171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.293863, "fair_value_reference": 22.193868, "structural_low": 18.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.002502, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.0072, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.292117, "worst_return": -0.096043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.025344, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.021248, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.18595, "worst_return": -0.099267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.071516, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.034345, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.084412, "worst_return": -0.179655, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 20.0, "volume": 18176224, "typical_volume": 9468641.3, "trend": 22.488529, "fair_value": 22.204591, "relative_strength": -18.610998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.404928, "energy": 34.759681, "activity_lines": [ 20.214667, 20.075141, 20.776533, 21.542217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.98, "volume": 11333484, "typical_volume": 9204032.5, "trend": 22.383196, "fair_value": 22.199862, "relative_strength": -12.775729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.444968, "energy": 24.308235, "activity_lines": [ 20.549334, 20.220594, 20.724934, 21.444892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.98, "volume": 10766331, "typical_volume": 9184539.6, "trend": 22.293863, "fair_value": 22.193868, "relative_strength": -15.714795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.562655, "energy": 22.440753, "activity_lines": [ 20.726667, 20.374763, 20.689096, 21.354364 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }