{ "ticker": { "uuid": "977cbc86-7e31-49ed-97e4-ba673ab3e1a7", "symbol": "5289", "name": "Innodisk Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.973, "architecture_energy": 11.789, "architecture_maturity": 53.372, "architecture_confidence": 77.437, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.83, "rotation_up": 18.23, "upward_expansion": 40.62, "deceleration": 86.04, "rotation_down": 36.02, "downward_expansion": 34.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 1418.333333, 1464.0, 1529.17619, 1432.686022 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1475.0, "trend_reference": 1264.633333, "distance_from_trend": 0.166346, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 470.807072, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.132918, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 29.918571, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.074543, "excess_performance": 0.633171, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.166346, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.371273, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.132918, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.752919, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.299186, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.028765, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.074543, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.008769, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13246812, "relative_activity": 0.759745, "balance": 1.008769, "dry_up": 0.767011, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.193742, "annualized_volatility": 0.875805, "from_high_reference": -0.271605, "from_low_reference": 5.656964 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1264.633333, "fair_value_reference": 470.807072, "structural_low": 724.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.033557, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.016091, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.156863, "worst_return": -0.163398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.041394, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.050932, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.711956, "worst_return": -0.141463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.426367, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.241519, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.859702, "worst_return": -0.007109, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 1275.0, "volume": 13089926, "typical_volume": 17946692.4, "trend": 1150.433333, "fair_value": 441.271984, "relative_strength": 29.616386, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.275715, "energy": 21.615267, "activity_lines": [ 1502.666667, 1620.0, 1534.880952, 1376.694624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1370.0, "volume": 10105053, "typical_volume": 17215506.9, "trend": 1179.733333, "fair_value": 448.28814, "relative_strength": 33.661783, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.620112, "energy": 21.871239, "activity_lines": [ 1427.666667, 1563.090909, 1532.680952, 1390.860215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1295.0, "volume": 11132800, "typical_volume": 16592991.3, "trend": 1205.9, "fair_value": 454.968228, "relative_strength": 25.760149, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.705492, "energy": 17.26175, "activity_lines": [ 1365.0, 1499.636364, 1520.647619, 1398.296774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1500.0, "volume": 19009376, "typical_volume": 17093747.1, "trend": 1236.066667, "fair_value": 462.892748, "relative_strength": 39.276867, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.627959, "energy": 17.187544, "activity_lines": [ 1391.333333, 1481.272727, 1526.804762, 1417.270968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1475.0, "volume": 13246812, "typical_volume": 17435868.05, "trend": 1264.633333, "fair_value": 470.807072, "relative_strength": 29.918571, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.973366, "energy": 11.788878, "activity_lines": [ 1418.333333, 1464.0, 1529.17619, 1432.686022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }