{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97892c92-8230-41ee-a6b1-8e66e9dab3d7", "symbol": "PTIR", "name": "GRANITESHARES 2X LONG PLTR DAILY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.251, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.072, "architecture_energy": 8.199, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 43.236, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.36, "rotation_up": 31.81, "upward_expansion": 19.44, "deceleration": 43.78, "rotation_down": 19.78, "downward_expansion": 55.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.213333, 12.177818, 12.716476, 13.519441 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 18.49, "trend_reference": 14.897, "distance_from_trend": 0.24119, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.914862, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.161807, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.65866, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.246797, "excess_performance": 0.059343, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.24119, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.252408, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.161807, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.313476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216587, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.26289, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.246797, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.063813, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52182732, "relative_activity": 2.058277, "balance": 1.063813, "dry_up": 1.042943, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.187726, "annualized_volatility": 1.406083, "from_high_reference": -0.522078, "from_low_reference": 1.356915 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.897, "fair_value_reference": 15.914862, "structural_low": 7.845, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.116259, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.081723, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.123387, "worst_return": -0.303762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.350926, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.566051, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.350926, "worst_return": -0.350926, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 10.19, "volume": 13934851, "typical_volume": 24177592.4, "trend": 15.615333, "fair_value": 15.947485, "relative_strength": -55.947632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.288068, "energy": 39.756962, "activity_lines": [ 10.872, 11.303091, 12.573429, 13.659828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.11, "volume": 18200353, "typical_volume": 23497172.65, "trend": 15.160667, "fair_value": 15.88911, "relative_strength": -55.847444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.97381, "energy": 38.304213, "activity_lines": [ 10.689333, 10.946545, 12.227571, 13.304645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.49, "volume": 52182732, "typical_volume": 25352624.7, "trend": 14.897, "fair_value": 15.914862, "relative_strength": -21.65866, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.072205, "energy": 8.198644, "activity_lines": [ 13.213333, 12.177818, 12.716476, 13.519441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }