{ "ticker": { "uuid": "978bf6ee-c294-4bd1-bbd3-8085292862a9", "symbol": "GRINDWELL", "name": "Grindwell Norton Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.647, "architecture_energy": 44.681, "architecture_maturity": 63.959, "architecture_confidence": 63.783, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.72, "rotation_up": 42.33, "upward_expansion": 75.52, "deceleration": 74.26, "rotation_down": 27.15, "downward_expansion": 6.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 2094.439998, 2086.170978, 1982.508447, 1874.920097 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2133.800049, "trend_reference": 1757.778239, "distance_from_trend": 0.213919, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1940.117338, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.09983, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.081933, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.302448, "excess_performance": 0.346157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.213919, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103444, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.09983, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.235366, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.270819, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185741, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.302448, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.512962, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 155175, "relative_activity": 0.398618, "balance": 2.512962, "dry_up": 1.245124, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081928, "annualized_volatility": 0.364061, "from_high_reference": -0.130835, "from_low_reference": 0.605568 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1757.778239, "fair_value_reference": 1940.117338, "structural_low": 1329.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.011351, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.008539, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.217833, "worst_return": -0.077545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.041727, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.019339, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.495907, "worst_return": -0.107685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.126035, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.082249, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.360838, "worst_return": -0.225359, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"up", "direction": 57.205157, "energy": 45.225171, "activity_lines": [ 2061.691724, 2049.583592, 1919.802704, 1823.721375 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2120.199951, "volume": 372922, "typical_volume": 395482.05, "trend": 1739.581571, "fair_value": 1940.750757, "relative_strength": 28.199859, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.298571, "energy": 44.111065, "activity_lines": [ 2072.90415, 2068.248185, 1952.139618, 1849.486647 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2133.800049, "volume": 155175, "typical_volume": 389282.05, "trend": 1757.778239, "fair_value": 1940.117338, "relative_strength": 27.081933, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.647157, "energy": 44.681308, "activity_lines": [ 2094.439998, 2086.170978, 1982.508447, 1874.920097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }