{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "978e9b30-083d-49ea-82d7-bc6736648133",
    "symbol": "ATS",
    "name": "Australis Oil & Gas Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.88,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -3.6,
    "architecture_energy": 12.201,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.171,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.529,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.34,
        "rotation_up": 43.39,
        "upward_expansion": 39.12,
        "deceleration": 34.45,
        "rotation_down": 16.95,
        "downward_expansion": 40.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0198,
        0.019145,
        0.018781,
        0.01946
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.02,
    "trend_reference": 0.02,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.013843,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.444779,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.561833,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.052632,
    "excess_performance": -0.011074,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065719,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.444779,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099661,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135618,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.266107,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052632,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.892471,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3344252,
      "relative_activity": 0.834077,
      "balance": 0.892471,
      "dry_up": 0.818084,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.142308,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.708941,
      "from_high_reference": -0.310345,
      "from_low_reference": 1.5
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.02,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.013843,
      "structural_low": 0.015,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.070759,
        "positive_rate": 0.083333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.083333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.081053,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.358491,
        "worst_return": -0.170732,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.044444,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047928,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.375,
        "worst_return": -0.4375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.185185,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.13163,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.1,
        "worst_return": -0.4375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.226716,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192541,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.3,
        "worst_return": -0.595238,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-16",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.413793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.28,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.181818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.222222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.5,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.133333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.095238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.304348,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.025,
        "volume": 3902767,
        "typical_volume": 4650621.2,
        "trend": 0.03525,
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      },
      {
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 7132775.2,
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        "relative_strength": 22.88482,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.6684,
        "energy": 20.560182,
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          0.01881,
          0.01946
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 5706285.55,
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        "fair_value": 0.013939,
        "relative_strength": 15.984268,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.937869,
        "energy": 25.078075,
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          0.019467,
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          0.019428
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.02,
        "volume": 4245118,
        "typical_volume": 4699074.35,
        "trend": 0.019833,
        "fair_value": 0.013894,
        "relative_strength": 18.141812,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -6.04997,
        "energy": 15.71322,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0198,
          0.018782,
          0.018733,
          0.019449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.02,
        "volume": 3344252,
        "typical_volume": 4009522.85,
        "trend": 0.02,
        "fair_value": 0.013843,
        "relative_strength": 13.561833,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -3.600453,
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.0198,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}