{ "ticker": { "uuid": "979be636-f57d-46e9-b3d7-c2b488a00297", "symbol": "6245", "name": "Lanner Electronics Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 50.522, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.912, "architecture_energy": 23.402, "architecture_maturity": 27.964, "architecture_confidence": 50.475, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.81, "rotation_up": 46.61, "upward_expansion": 66.72, "deceleration": 58.3, "rotation_down": 21.51, "downward_expansion": 12.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.073333, 81.054546, 81.565238, 79.482151 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.5, "trend_reference": 76.143333, "distance_from_trend": 0.109749, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.648934, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.001759, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.721458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.257441, "excess_performance": -0.183931, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109749, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047844, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.001759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038348, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.207215, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0492, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.257441, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.914789, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5769282, "relative_activity": 1.010876, "balance": 0.914789, "dry_up": 0.789084, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097041, "annualized_volatility": 0.397542, "from_high_reference": -0.103924, "from_low_reference": 0.42978 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 76.143333, "fair_value_reference": 84.648934, "structural_low": 59.099998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.026906, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.028374, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.24878, "worst_return": -0.150754, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.037175, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.011949, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.121951, "worst_return": -0.236181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.059493, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.154215, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.304833, "worst_return": -0.170462, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 3715830, "typical_volume": 5759484.0, "trend": 75.023333, "fair_value": 84.775152, "relative_strength": -26.240655, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.992577, "energy": 6.978843, "activity_lines": [ 79.04, 79.803637, 80.669048, 78.30043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.400002, "volume": 3280918, "typical_volume": 5768660.55, "trend": 75.56, "fair_value": 84.70642, "relative_strength": -18.919711, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.240614, "energy": 16.762825, "activity_lines": [ 80.626667, 80.394546, 81.151429, 78.905376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 84.5, "volume": 5769282, "typical_volume": 5707207.7, "trend": 76.143333, "fair_value": 84.648934, "relative_strength": -20.721458, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.911711, "energy": 23.401633, "activity_lines": [ 82.073333, 81.054546, 81.565238, 79.482151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }