{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97a8c5b5-b626-47a7-9c60-4ddc39bee53c", "symbol": "VRS", "name": "VeriSign, Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.256, "architecture_energy": 44.011, "architecture_maturity": 25.083, "architecture_confidence": 77.172, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.51, "rotation_up": 60.98, "upward_expansion": 75.26, "deceleration": 61.71, "rotation_down": 16.48, "downward_expansion": 6.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 243.906666, 238.763636, 238.353333, 232.591427 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 254.600006, "trend_reference": 224.319823, "distance_from_trend": 0.134987, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 192.824946, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320369, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.102492, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.223758, "excess_performance": 0.159119, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.134987, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041024, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.320369, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085155, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071025, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047751, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.223758, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.480836, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15, "relative_activity": 0.274223, "balance": 1.480836, "dry_up": 0.694698, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056861, "annualized_volatility": 0.401845, "from_high_reference": -0.055638, "from_low_reference": 0.438906 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 224.319823, "fair_value_reference": 192.824946, "structural_low": 176.940002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.030878, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.01985, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.327628, "worst_return": -0.155971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.071412, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.009002, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.169109, "worst_return": -0.070708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.044532, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.079101, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.210836, "worst_return": 0.028204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.132144, "energy": 10.227379, "activity_lines": [ 231.533331, 233.927272, 234.668571, 228.84455 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 247.899994, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 55.8, "trend": 222.940619, "fair_value": 192.342139, "relative_strength": 7.601548, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.446854, "energy": 30.051604, "activity_lines": [ 237.406663, 235.556362, 236.290475, 230.548885 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 254.600006, "volume": 15, "typical_volume": 54.7, "trend": 224.319823, "fair_value": 192.824946, "relative_strength": 7.102492, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.256259, "energy": 44.011227, "activity_lines": [ 243.906666, 238.763636, 238.353333, 232.591427 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }