{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97b34de1-5f6e-4bce-8d9a-a119ccb6fa3e", "symbol": "300026", "name": "Tianjin Chase Sun Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 65.841, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -7.648, "architecture_energy": 20.524, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 58.223, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.56, "rotation_up": 43.71, "upward_expansion": 26.94, "deceleration": 41.3, "rotation_down": 14.04, "downward_expansion": 47.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.337365, 3.240631, 3.244829, 3.310459 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.41, "trend_reference": 3.407798, "distance_from_trend": 0.000646, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.744843, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.089415, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.359641, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.060606, "excess_performance": -0.068006, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000646, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048278, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.089415, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040656, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.083596, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.178977, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.060606, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.417869, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 265156877, "relative_activity": 1.429722, "balance": 1.417869, "dry_up": 2.010385, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055863, "annualized_volatility": 0.222813, "from_high_reference": -0.231982, "from_low_reference": 0.179404 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.407798, "fair_value_reference": 3.744843, "structural_low": 2.891291, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.021452, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.024523, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.269962, "worst_return": -0.206049, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.078646, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.040656, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.632076, "worst_return": -0.166304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.036494, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.126334, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.287225, "worst_return": -0.219554, "sufficient": true }, 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3.767164, "relative_strength": -10.523487, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.091942, "energy": 26.136644, "activity_lines": [ 3.211577, 3.15641, 3.228818, 3.313723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.37, "volume": 315841530, "typical_volume": 181244109.3, "trend": 3.411464, "fair_value": 3.755592, "relative_strength": -5.632095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.519752, "energy": 21.824262, "activity_lines": [ 3.283429, 3.195793, 3.234371, 3.310553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.41, "volume": 265156877, "typical_volume": 185460506.6, "trend": 3.407798, "fair_value": 3.744843, "relative_strength": -8.359641, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.648259, "energy": 20.524112, "activity_lines": [ 3.337365, 3.240631, 3.244829, 3.310459 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }