{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97b5d28c-b833-4d6f-91c3-33bac6f7789c", "symbol": "KKR", "name": "KKR & Co. Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.85, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 31.591, "architecture_energy": 38.339, "architecture_maturity": 11.395, "architecture_confidence": 49.781, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.12, "rotation_up": 59.95, "upward_expansion": 53.48, "deceleration": 28.13, "rotation_down": 17.88, "downward_expansion": 14.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 101.111333, 98.724724, 97.682089, 97.023396 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 102.81, "trend_reference": 98.624487, "distance_from_trend": 0.042439, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 109.793228, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.063603, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.296954, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002973, "excess_performance": -0.122652, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042439, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089913, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.063603, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022979, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18297, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066634, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002973, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.297412, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25603261, "relative_activity": 1.107774, "balance": 1.297412, "dry_up": 0.914609, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073402, "annualized_volatility": 0.354789, "from_high_reference": -0.318355, "from_low_reference": 0.249793 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 98.624487, "fair_value_reference": 109.793228, "structural_low": 82.261616, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.006202, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.010064, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.159296, "worst_return": -0.225917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.02239, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.002114, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.149945, "worst_return": -0.309683, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.046619, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.023697, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.180038, "worst_return": -0.252221, "sufficient": false }, 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96.519543, 96.474857, 96.762618 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 101.43, "volume": 22593056, "typical_volume": 23486045.45, "trend": 99.655606, "fair_value": 109.521667, "relative_strength": -17.453453, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.339889, "energy": 22.663956, "activity_lines": [ 99.675333, 97.566373, 97.050674, 96.819886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 102.81, "volume": 25603261, "typical_volume": 23112341.15, "trend": 98.624487, "fair_value": 109.793228, "relative_strength": -18.296954, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.590841, "energy": 38.338639, "activity_lines": [ 101.111333, 98.724724, 97.682089, 97.023396 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }