{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97b91880-1850-4760-a010-578c70757b92", "symbol": "300787", "name": "Anfu CE LINK Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.443, "architecture_energy": 66.38, "architecture_maturity": 52.731, "architecture_confidence": 92.572, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.52, "rotation_up": 18.26, "upward_expansion": 13.33, "deceleration": 45.0, "rotation_down": 61.83, "downward_expansion": 84.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.333333, 8.591818, 9.236616, 9.88283 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.74, "trend_reference": 10.712661, "distance_from_trend": -0.184143, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.835669, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.193405, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.274115, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.294443, "excess_performance": -0.301843, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184143, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07936, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.193405, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179685, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.282741, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012051, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.294443, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.721954, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18494933, "relative_activity": 0.90402, "balance": 0.721954, "dry_up": 1.076438, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090361, "annualized_volatility": 0.427435, "from_high_reference": -0.450701, "from_low_reference": 0.203857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.712661, "fair_value_reference": 10.835669, "structural_low": 7.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.011317, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.005621, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.19405, "worst_return": -0.183099, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.03093, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.061025, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.635709, "worst_return": -0.22779, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.210973, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.095207, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.36863, "worst_return": -0.3987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 11.020049, "fair_value": 10.913974, "relative_strength": -34.121433, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.202006, "energy": 78.08152, "activity_lines": [ 8.733333, 9.074943, 9.799517, 10.396005 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.54, "volume": 23099505, "typical_volume": 21322557.45, "trend": 10.898387, "fair_value": 10.882553, "relative_strength": -37.467557, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.347541, "energy": 91.926513, "activity_lines": [ 8.254, 8.734, 9.522023, 10.171485 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.49, "volume": 24654888, "typical_volume": 21117777.6, "trend": 10.805774, "fair_value": 10.8563, "relative_strength": -27.649501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.774249, "energy": 81.638086, "activity_lines": [ 8.227333, 8.620545, 9.358416, 10.016106 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.74, "volume": 18494933, "typical_volume": 20458549.25, "trend": 10.712661, "fair_value": 10.835669, "relative_strength": -28.274115, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.443431, "energy": 66.379759, "activity_lines": [ 8.333333, 8.591818, 9.236616, 9.88283 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }