{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "97b9afb6-782e-4283-a51c-3a0fa0b909a0",
    "symbol": "VLO",
    "name": "Valero Energy Corporation",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.997,
    "architecture_energy": 87.465,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.316,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 80.16,
        "upward_expansion": 97.48,
        "deceleration": 41.89,
        "rotation_down": 8.73,
        "downward_expansion": 21.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        262.620296,
        250.907012,
        234.872381,
        224.074672
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 259.799988,
    "trend_reference": 207.488449,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.252118,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 139.545502,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.861758,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.958382,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.533448,
    "excess_performance": 0.359201,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252118,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181609,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.861758,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270278,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.209584,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034243,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.533448,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057384,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.378861,
      "from_high_reference": -0.067613,
      "from_low_reference": 1.33656
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 207.488449,
      "fair_value_reference": 139.545502,
      "structural_low": 164.548546,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.003729,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002091,
        "regime_survival": 0.722222,
        "best_return": 0.288462,
        "worst_return": -0.112586,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.119212,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017353,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.285015,
        "worst_return": -0.160058,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.011128,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.029861,
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        "worst_return": -0.230842,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.078308,
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 36.05,
        "trend": 191.212191,
        "fair_value": 135.507894,
        "relative_strength": 21.023638,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.917171,
        "energy": 60.071857,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 264.005859,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 32.5,
        "trend": 195.455653,
        "fair_value": 136.558838,
        "relative_strength": 32.134354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.065786,
        "energy": 92.496227,
        "activity_lines": [
          243.234925,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 265.499115,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.15,
        "trend": 199.712041,
        "fair_value": 137.5844,
        "relative_strength": 29.786787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.542349,
        "energy": 93.266043,
        "activity_lines": [
          253.732329,
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          216.076454
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 267.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.5,
        "trend": 204.015558,
        "fair_value": 138.619415,
        "relative_strength": 29.661981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.175317,
        "energy": 92.142919,
        "activity_lines": [
          260.990085,
          246.669444,
          231.208631,
          220.475676
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 259.799988,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.5,
        "trend": 207.488449,
        "fair_value": 139.545502,
        "relative_strength": 20.958382,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.997214,
        "energy": 87.46506,
        "activity_lines": [
          262.620296,
          250.907012,
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          224.074672
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}