{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97c2bdd5-b055-4ec3-9640-af392fc29c64", "symbol": "WHR", "name": "Whirlpool Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.842, "architecture_energy": 42.869, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 61.546, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.86, "rotation_up": 27.4, "upward_expansion": 18.51, "deceleration": 66.69, "rotation_down": 42.26, "downward_expansion": 68.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.273344, 38.851693, 41.227053, 45.890655 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 43.28, "trend_reference": 54.488802, "distance_from_trend": -0.205708, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 84.827755, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.48979, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -40.602181, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.49319, "excess_performance": -0.618815, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205708, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174124, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.48979, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019191, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.406022, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072294, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.49319, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.910621, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18253234, "relative_activity": 1.401895, "balance": 0.910621, "dry_up": 0.954054, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110704, "annualized_volatility": 0.626149, "from_high_reference": -0.540366, "from_low_reference": 0.255526 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.488802, "fair_value_reference": 84.827755, "structural_low": 34.471605, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.004667, "positive_rate": 0.512821, "directional_follow_through": 0.487179, "median_excess_return": -0.015875, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.231528, "worst_return": -0.296322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.012877, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047303, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.310496, "worst_return": -0.25641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.094756, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.154849, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.119483, "worst_return": -0.317801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 85.836688, "relative_strength": -49.514239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.779849, "energy": 62.883495, "activity_lines": [ 37.384117, 38.44474, 42.210851, 47.955461 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.5, "volume": 10206453, "typical_volume": 12895222.75, "trend": 55.791693, "fair_value": 85.311152, "relative_strength": -47.502298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.476329, "energy": 55.742193, "activity_lines": [ 37.351864, 38.075762, 41.396118, 46.697861 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.28, "volume": 18253234, "typical_volume": 13020398.0, "trend": 54.488802, "fair_value": 84.827755, "relative_strength": -40.602181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.842005, "energy": 42.869315, "activity_lines": [ 39.273344, 38.851693, 41.227053, 45.890655 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }