{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97da4db7-756a-4a21-acbd-d3af55db915d", "symbol": "YBOX", "name": "Ybox Real Estate Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.517, "architecture_energy": 67.915, "architecture_maturity": 65.01, "architecture_confidence": 77.698, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.34, "rotation_up": 13.04, "upward_expansion": 15.49, "deceleration": 35.53, "rotation_down": 74.64, "downward_expansion": 88.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.8402, 0.871964, 0.884138, 0.903178 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.793, "trend_reference": 0.947, "distance_from_trend": -0.162619, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.967672, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.180508, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.156353, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.214073, "excess_performance": -0.242974, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.162619, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097981, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.180508, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226007, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.321564, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021353, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.214073, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.202433, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 915694, "relative_activity": 1.361798, "balance": 1.202433, "dry_up": 0.448845, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083616, "annualized_volatility": 0.370093, "from_high_reference": -0.39, "from_low_reference": 0.002528 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.947, "fair_value_reference": 0.967672, "structural_low": 0.791, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.000853, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.005129, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.355304, "worst_return": -0.195636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.05119, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.072985, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.336187, "worst_return": -0.248316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061008, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.131111, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.493333, "worst_return": -0.344249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.903657, 0.928916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.89, "volume": 51092, "typical_volume": 671956.3, "trend": 0.972367, "fair_value": 0.96871, "relative_strength": -27.722027, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.472593, "energy": 16.084336, "activity_lines": [ 0.903933, 0.898564, 0.901333, 0.92308 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.832, "volume": 132124, "typical_volume": 664533.1, "trend": 0.9611, "fair_value": 0.968901, "relative_strength": -29.590654, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.873189, "energy": 39.807943, "activity_lines": [ 0.874, 0.888309, 0.894305, 0.914024 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.793, "volume": 915694, "typical_volume": 672415.2, "trend": 0.947, "fair_value": 0.967672, "relative_strength": -32.156353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.517095, "energy": 67.915304, "activity_lines": [ 0.8402, 0.871964, 0.884138, 0.903178 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }