{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97ef5a82-b86b-4a53-9b7d-c721eb40f427", "symbol": "5IG", "name": "Gallant Venture Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.22, "architecture_energy": 16.447, "architecture_maturity": 73.028, "architecture_confidence": 75.46, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.77, "rotation_up": 25.05, "upward_expansion": 12.93, "deceleration": 44.32, "rotation_down": 26.21, "downward_expansion": 58.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.061867, 0.061145, 0.062129, 0.063198 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.063, "trend_reference": 0.066067, "distance_from_trend": -0.046418, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.09434, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.332201, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.706735, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.112676, "excess_performance": -0.267511, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046418, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088736, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.332201, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011635, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.277067, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049531, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.112676, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.442761, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 733300, "relative_activity": 0.185313, "balance": 0.442761, "dry_up": 0.273073, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07326, "annualized_volatility": 0.485338, "from_high_reference": -0.40566, "from_low_reference": 0.145455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.066067, "fair_value_reference": 0.09434, "structural_low": 0.056, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.007782, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.009444, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.22973, "worst_return": -0.345455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.003788, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.042636, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.027027, "worst_return": -0.190909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.061728, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.143212, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.007812, "worst_return": -0.315385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.180556, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.08046, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.057471, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.075, 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"volume": 2205300, "typical_volume": 4129285.0, "trend": 0.067767, "fair_value": 0.095231, "relative_strength": -29.282989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.163518, "energy": 29.231423, "activity_lines": [ 0.060467, 0.060673, 0.062119, 0.063813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.062, "volume": 1139600, "typical_volume": 4029195.0, "trend": 0.066767, "fair_value": 0.094782, "relative_strength": -28.879994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.648186, "energy": 21.874956, "activity_lines": [ 0.0612, 0.060818, 0.062076, 0.063441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.063, "volume": 733300, "typical_volume": 3957085.0, "trend": 0.066067, "fair_value": 0.09434, "relative_strength": -27.706735, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.219646, "energy": 16.446884, "activity_lines": [ 0.061867, 0.061145, 0.062129, 0.063198 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }