{ "ticker": { "uuid": "97f116da-519d-4632-8403-76cda02c5209", "symbol": "MCSB", "name": "Mackenzie Canadian Short Term Fixed Income ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 92.413, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.229, "architecture_energy": 16.236, "architecture_maturity": 40.196, "architecture_confidence": 76.018, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.96, "rotation_up": 28.12, "upward_expansion": 55.29, "deceleration": 85.51, "rotation_down": 29.46, "downward_expansion": 18.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.84737, 19.856858, 19.845095, 19.83577 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 19.860001, "trend_reference": 19.832097, "distance_from_trend": 0.001407, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.853311, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053396, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.883296, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.000749, "excess_performance": -0.121171, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001407, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001987, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.053396, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008732, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108833, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000522, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.000749, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.295833, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10300, "relative_activity": 0.481871, "balance": 1.295833, "dry_up": 3.747368, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003564, "annualized_volatility": 0.020598, "from_high_reference": -0.0067, "from_low_reference": 0.021978 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.832097, "fair_value_reference": 18.853311, "structural_low": 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19.869414, 19.871525, 19.838519, 19.833673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.785181, "volume": 3200, "typical_volume": 21365.0, "trend": 19.824931, "fair_value": 18.817716, "relative_strength": -9.564131, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.777685, "energy": 14.055662, "activity_lines": [ 19.8392, 19.858373, 19.835719, 19.83118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.865, "volume": 2300, "typical_volume": 21140.0, "trend": 19.828927, "fair_value": 18.835471, "relative_strength": -8.387419, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.54562, "energy": 17.482563, "activity_lines": [ 19.842385, 19.858504, 19.840856, 19.833765 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.860001, "volume": 10300, "typical_volume": 21375.0, "trend": 19.832097, "fair_value": 18.853311, "relative_strength": -10.883296, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.228649, "energy": 16.236487, "activity_lines": [ 19.84737, 19.856858, 19.845095, 19.83577 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }