{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9813ac41-104d-463a-8f7f-07329514e6cc", "symbol": "DIG", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST ULTRA ENERGY", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.697, "architecture_energy": 30.628, "architecture_maturity": 13.827, "architecture_confidence": 58.357, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.01, "rotation_up": 63.32, "upward_expansion": 61.39, "deceleration": 55.52, "rotation_down": 7.39, "downward_expansion": 16.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.785333, 56.376769, 56.380871, 56.632429 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 56.83, "trend_reference": 55.485162, "distance_from_trend": 0.024238, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.647956, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.398102, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.061516, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126428, "excess_performance": 0.000803, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024238, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.126816, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.398102, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002342, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.080615, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088824, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126428, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.921824, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 180796, "relative_activity": 0.647479, "balance": 0.921824, "dry_up": 0.726715, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096812, "annualized_volatility": 0.524539, "from_high_reference": -0.205397, "from_low_reference": 0.783038 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.485162, "fair_value_reference": 40.647956, "structural_low": 48.26, "invalidation": "A 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"relative_strength": 16.569034, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.167266, "energy": 15.37258, "activity_lines": [ 53.167659, 53.824525, 55.662173, 55.50554 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.63, "volume": 180934, "typical_volume": 310515.25, "trend": 54.096581, "fair_value": 40.39098, "relative_strength": 24.396736, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.415854, "energy": 22.542127, "activity_lines": [ 56.386667, 54.993474, 56.088039, 56.04845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.21, "volume": 166576, "typical_volume": 290278.45, "trend": 54.891742, "fair_value": 40.54178, "relative_strength": 21.22817, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.152314, "energy": 31.377745, "activity_lines": [ 58.67, 56.082038, 56.449203, 56.50738 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.83, "volume": 180796, "typical_volume": 279230.7, "trend": 55.485162, "fair_value": 40.647956, "relative_strength": 8.061516, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.697465, "energy": 30.627564, "activity_lines": [ 58.785333, 56.376769, 56.380871, 56.632429 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }