{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98153c8f-28bc-4f31-9487-b98316c9245e", "symbol": "EXPL", "name": "EPC Groupe", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.379, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.898, "architecture_energy": 28.749, "architecture_maturity": 25.615, "architecture_confidence": 68.71, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.79, "rotation_up": 46.67, "upward_expansion": 72.85, "deceleration": 66.77, "rotation_down": 25.17, "downward_expansion": 6.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 275.067395, 274.241919, 273.998252, 271.296689 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 278.0, "trend_reference": 264.801092, "distance_from_trend": 0.049845, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 184.65037, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.505548, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.903544, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.177966, "excess_performance": 0.124655, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049845, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070192, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.505548, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132493, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.079035, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166103, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.177966, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.56282, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1780, "relative_activity": 1.275346, "balance": 3.56282, "dry_up": 0.651465, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039998, "annualized_volatility": 0.335004, "from_high_reference": -0.07947, "from_low_reference": 0.494624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 264.801092, "fair_value_reference": 184.65037, "structural_low": 234.0, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.849114, "energy": 24.751733, "activity_lines": [ 274.882672, 275.225524, 273.479673, 268.830234 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 281.0, "volume": 244, "typical_volume": 1525.9, "trend": 261.267758, "fair_value": 182.800031, "relative_strength": 14.358951, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.933787, "energy": 32.607009, "activity_lines": [ 277.345701, 276.079474, 274.31285, 270.223712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 263.0, "volume": 1047, "typical_volume": 1407.25, "trend": 263.101091, "fair_value": 183.677123, "relative_strength": 4.998318, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.492755, "energy": 13.672369, "activity_lines": [ 273.472487, 273.642515, 273.388885, 270.335469 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 278.0, "volume": 1780, "typical_volume": 1395.7, "trend": 264.801092, "fair_value": 184.65037, "relative_strength": 7.903544, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.89773, "energy": 28.749457, "activity_lines": [ 275.067395, 274.241919, 273.998252, 271.296689 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }