{ "ticker": { "uuid": "981b0da8-ed3f-4d69-b871-39e24054b89d", "symbol": "WTBN", "name": "WISDOMTREE BIANCO TOTAL RETURN FUND", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 63.512, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.152, "architecture_energy": 68.845, "architecture_maturity": 24.921, "architecture_confidence": 85.105, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.66, "rotation_up": 10.0, "upward_expansion": 15.5, "deceleration": 37.3, "rotation_down": 72.77, "downward_expansion": 91.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.742978, 24.847134, 24.941211, 25.005772 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 24.805, "trend_reference": 25.093787, "distance_from_trend": -0.011508, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.131474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027911, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.71126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.017918, "excess_performance": -0.205372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011508, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003238, "read": "Falling" 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24.6001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.002985, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010991, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.006574, "worst_return": -0.012543, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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"typical_volume": 84821.0, "trend": 25.127602, "fair_value": 24.122857, "relative_strength": -10.057945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.588733, "energy": 67.983967, "activity_lines": [ 24.838778, 24.938437, 24.999699, 25.057501 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.6299, "volume": 40631, "typical_volume": 85537.55, "trend": 25.109094, "fair_value": 24.126558, "relative_strength": -10.333415, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.142282, "energy": 75.162289, "activity_lines": [ 24.7439, 24.873539, 24.961021, 25.025391 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.805, "volume": 48956, "typical_volume": 84778.65, "trend": 25.093787, "fair_value": 24.131474, "relative_strength": -13.71126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.15233, "energy": 68.844691, "activity_lines": [ 24.742978, 24.847134, 24.941211, 25.005772 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }