{ "ticker": { "uuid": "983762c4-81bb-4477-b064-55327eba148a", "symbol": "H07", "name": "Stamford Land Corporation Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 56.65, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -2.629, "architecture_energy": 4.138, "architecture_maturity": 19.072, "architecture_confidence": 48.208, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.14, "rotation_up": 30.93, "upward_expansion": 31.96, "deceleration": 60.05, "rotation_down": 36.11, "downward_expansion": 27.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.480901, 0.482715, 0.479933, 0.479166 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.475, "trend_reference": 0.480972, "distance_from_trend": -0.012416, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.408703, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.162214, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.666417, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.040404, "excess_performance": -0.195239, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012416, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007965, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.162214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027272, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.156664, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104182, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.040404, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.908499, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1616200, "relative_activity": 2.147917, "balance": 0.908499, "dry_up": 1.909097, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02499, "annualized_volatility": 0.117998, "from_high_reference": -0.095238, "from_low_reference": 0.158537 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.480972, "fair_value_reference": 0.408703, "structural_low": 0.455, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.002783, "regime_survival": 0.55, "best_return": 0.04054, "worst_return": -0.229167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.000168, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.031921, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.038962, "worst_return": -0.160254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.012478, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027763, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.119685, "worst_return": -0.17102, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.05634, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.045456, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.059524, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.151163, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.030303, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": 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"relative_strength": -10.829852, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.11636, "energy": 49.968967, "activity_lines": [ 0.487842, 0.482813, 0.479043, 0.479695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.489789, "volume": 987200, "typical_volume": 672835.0, "trend": 0.482807, "fair_value": 0.407426, "relative_strength": -11.863618, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.363045, "energy": 51.669574, "activity_lines": [ 0.48881, 0.484785, 0.480335, 0.480113 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.474947, "volume": 1498000, "typical_volume": 692570.0, "trend": 0.481805, "fair_value": 0.408064, "relative_strength": -14.888214, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.7835, "energy": 17.374971, "activity_lines": [ 0.484512, 0.48379, 0.480167, 0.479606 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.475, "volume": 1616200, "typical_volume": 752450.0, "trend": 0.480972, "fair_value": 0.408703, "relative_strength": -15.666417, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.629267, "energy": 4.13786, "activity_lines": [ 0.480901, 0.482715, 0.479933, 0.479166 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }