{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "984b5a47-2e47-4918-bc42-c502ad8626dc",
    "symbol": "ITIM",
    "name": "Itim Group Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.637,
    "architecture_energy": 39.44,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.372,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.1,
        "rotation_up": 29.55,
        "upward_expansion": 6.43,
        "deceleration": 60.99,
        "rotation_down": 33.56,
        "downward_expansion": 55.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.24,
        0.24,
        0.24,
        0.254054
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.24,
    "trend_reference": 0.2885,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.168111,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.381545,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.370978,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -43.520915,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.435294,
    "excess_performance": -0.486529,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.168111,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21103,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.370978,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010209,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.435209,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06755,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.435294,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": null,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 76532,
      "relative_activity": 2.186969,
      "balance": null,
      "dry_up": 2.407832,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049679,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.385555,
      "from_high_reference": -0.630769,
      "from_low_reference": 0.043478
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.2885,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.381545,
      "structural_low": 0.23,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.034091,
        "positive_rate": 0.315789,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058309,
        "regime_survival": 0.894737,
        "best_return": 0.840909,
        "worst_return": -0.328571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.132219,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118598,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 1.225,
        "worst_return": -0.465909,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.305556,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.248071,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.589286,
        "worst_return": -0.454545,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.197685,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.16358,
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        "best_return": 1.025,
        "worst_return": -0.62963,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 23844.25,
        "trend": 0.389667,
        "fair_value": 0.387647,
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "energy": 61.159198,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -49.049982,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 0.356333,
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        "relative_strength": -48.1294,
        "stage": 4,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 72.516423,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -46.660156,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 27552.8,
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        "fair_value": 0.384045,
        "relative_strength": -44.919857,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.733177,
        "energy": 71.785885,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.24,
        "volume": 135074,
        "typical_volume": 33221.1,
        "trend": 0.310167,
        "fair_value": 0.383372,
        "relative_strength": -44.624141,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.699731,
        "energy": 58.410949,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.24,
          0.24,
          0.241952,
          0.266183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.24,
        "volume": 74091,
        "typical_volume": 35720.35,
        "trend": 0.302667,
        "fair_value": 0.382763,
        "relative_strength": -44.491172,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.985558,
        "energy": 53.175186,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.24,
          0.24,
          0.24081,
          0.261656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.24,
        "volume": 51347,
        "typical_volume": 37380.45,
        "trend": 0.295167,
        "fair_value": 0.382154,
        "relative_strength": -44.270576,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.862823,
        "energy": 47.386639,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.24,
          0.24,
          0.24019,
          0.257613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.24,
        "volume": 76532,
        "typical_volume": 34994.55,
        "trend": 0.2885,
        "fair_value": 0.381545,
        "relative_strength": -43.520915,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.637202,
        "energy": 39.440297,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.24,
          0.24,
          0.24,
          0.254054
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}