{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "984d1db8-781d-4303-9874-da3dfdaf1ceb",
    "symbol": "BM",
    "name": "Bangkok Sheet Metal Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.753,
    "architecture_energy": 42.795,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.571,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.271,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.66,
        "rotation_up": 49.98,
        "upward_expansion": 75.22,
        "deceleration": 68.16,
        "rotation_down": 24.02,
        "downward_expansion": 10.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.156667,
        1.150545,
        1.104952,
        1.07744
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.16,
    "trend_reference": 1.050165,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.104588,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.966183,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.410024,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.04081,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.195279,
    "excess_performance": 0.002954,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104588,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021487,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.410024,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103149,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120408,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121444,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195279,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.236813,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2970100,
      "relative_activity": 0.573276,
      "balance": 2.236813,
      "dry_up": 0.834774,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058355,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.27405,
      "from_high_reference": -0.278589,
      "from_low_reference": 0.25689
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.050165,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.966183,
      "structural_low": 0.932427,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.00641,
        "positive_rate": 0.222222,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.222222,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017357,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.019231,
        "worst_return": -0.134443,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.039728,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016453,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.088889,
        "worst_return": -0.220495,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.151206,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083937,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.141602,
        "worst_return": -0.294355,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.392976,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.206722,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.042339,
        "worst_return": -0.497137,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2023-04-14",
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        "return": 0.079208,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2024-04-05",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 82.469754,
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          1.096,
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          1.03
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 5241485.0,
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        "fair_value": 2.024275,
        "relative_strength": -15.886336,
        "stage": 1,
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        "direction": 83.318298,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 23047200,
        "typical_volume": 5755445.0,
        "trend": 1.040803,
        "fair_value": 2.011909,
        "relative_strength": -14.675356,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.309035,
        "energy": 87.399066,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.158667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.16,
        "volume": 7121100,
        "typical_volume": 5663540.0,
        "trend": 1.043631,
        "fair_value": 2.000334,
        "relative_strength": -16.398377,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.584797,
        "energy": 82.267778,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.169333,
          1.125636,
          1.077095,
          1.057167
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.12,
        "volume": 5602200,
        "typical_volume": 5587630.0,
        "trend": 1.044492,
        "fair_value": 1.988722,
        "relative_strength": -18.396647,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.861511,
        "energy": 59.958122,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.157333,
          1.130727,
          1.084238,
          1.062094
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.17,
        "volume": 1606200,
        "typical_volume": 5291790.0,
        "trend": 1.047654,
        "fair_value": 1.97732,
        "relative_strength": -12.885202,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.495971,
        "energy": 50.074705,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.157333,
          1.142727,
          1.095476,
          1.070192
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.16,
        "volume": 2970100,
        "typical_volume": 5180925.0,
        "trend": 1.050165,
        "fair_value": 1.966183,
        "relative_strength": -12.04081,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.7529,
        "energy": 42.795115,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.156667,
          1.150545,
          1.104952,
          1.07744
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}