{ "ticker": { "uuid": "985f7f8b-0087-469e-8bbb-4de5b11fe4e3", "symbol": "SJY", "name": "MeGroup Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.78, "architecture_energy": 83.317, "architecture_maturity": 55.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.66, "rotation_up": 29.92, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 55.38, "downward_expansion": 97.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.060533, 0.060927, 0.069367, 0.082675 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.06, "trend_reference": 0.094533, "distance_from_trend": -0.365303, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.086343, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.305099, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.149805, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.464286, "excess_performance": -0.619121, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.365303, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008669, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.305099, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.384834, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.371498, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.516901, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.464286, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.030213, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.030213, "dry_up": 0.033232, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123077, "annualized_volatility": 0.899848, "from_high_reference": -0.62963, "from_low_reference": 1.222222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.094533, "fair_value_reference": 0.086343, "structural_low": 0.027, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.009793, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.328573, "worst_return": -0.333337, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.067786, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.077992, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.263157, "worst_return": -0.237505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.078448, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.145632, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.268537, "worst_return": -0.287496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.063491, 0.082395, 0.091499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.064, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 811925.0, "trend": 0.095333, "fair_value": 0.087111, "relative_strength": -31.319335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.04445, "energy": 77.841454, "activity_lines": [ 0.061933, 0.062564, 0.079005, 0.089469 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.06, "volume": 100000, "typical_volume": 811320.0, "trend": 0.095167, "fair_value": 0.086808, "relative_strength": -36.364192, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.322443, "energy": 78.505182, "activity_lines": [ 0.0612, 0.061509, 0.075471, 0.087189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 802075.0, "trend": 0.0948, "fair_value": 0.086646, "relative_strength": -36.563493, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.283656, "energy": 80.059819, "activity_lines": [ 0.0608, 0.061109, 0.072224, 0.08492 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 759055.0, "trend": 0.094533, "fair_value": 0.086343, "relative_strength": -37.149805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.780104, "energy": 83.317044, "activity_lines": [ 0.060533, 0.060927, 0.069367, 0.082675 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }