{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9874131b-501d-4de0-a2f8-8874c190f9a6", "symbol": "P1E", "name": "Pure One Corporation Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.079, "architecture_energy": 84.724, "architecture_maturity": 92.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.906, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 12.54, "upward_expansion": 19.71, "deceleration": 38.61, "rotation_down": 80.01, "downward_expansion": 97.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0336, 0.037555, 0.046438, 0.052176 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.033, "trend_reference": 0.059633, "distance_from_trend": -0.446618, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.107218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.692216, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -55.443797, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.56, "excess_performance": -0.623706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.446618, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174244, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.692216, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199249, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.554438, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304688, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.56, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.524215, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2309652, "relative_activity": 1.66521, "balance": 0.524215, "dry_up": 1.394093, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.175991, "annualized_volatility": 0.626739, "from_high_reference": -0.713043, "from_low_reference": 0.1 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.059633, "fair_value_reference": 0.107218, "structural_low": 0.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.054348, "positive_rate": 0.27027, "directional_follow_through": 0.675676, "median_excess_return": -0.061578, "regime_survival": 0.837838, "best_return": 1.285714, "worst_return": -0.317308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.12, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.132634, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 2.615385, "worst_return": -0.285714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.154401, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.192932, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.179487, "worst_return": -0.383562, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.074074, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.192308, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.210526, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"typical_volume": 1334317.35, "trend": 0.062333, "fair_value": 0.109385, "relative_strength": -56.077901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.441006, "energy": 93.716875, "activity_lines": [ 0.035667, 0.042436, 0.05061, 0.055806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.034, "volume": 1608251, "typical_volume": 1313757.9, "trend": 0.060933, "fair_value": 0.108288, "relative_strength": -53.4985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.734803, "energy": 88.650624, "activity_lines": [ 0.0345, 0.039818, 0.04849, 0.053978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.033, "volume": 2309652, "typical_volume": 1387003.1, "trend": 0.059633, "fair_value": 0.107218, "relative_strength": -55.443797, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.078662, "energy": 84.723804, "activity_lines": [ 0.0336, 0.037555, 0.046438, 0.052176 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }