{ "ticker": { "uuid": "987e82d5-c1c3-4b9a-a85b-43905c29149c", "symbol": "601001", "name": "Jinneng Holding Shanxi Coal Industry Co.,ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.622, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.631, "architecture_energy": 18.899, "architecture_maturity": 8.574, "architecture_confidence": 50.554, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.41, "rotation_up": 18.71, "upward_expansion": 15.41, "deceleration": 59.31, "rotation_down": 54.28, "downward_expansion": 45.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.813959, 17.195585, 17.700714, 17.592135 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.280001, "trend_reference": 17.156876, "distance_from_trend": 0.007176, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.693197, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261941, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.217025, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.132372, "excess_performance": 0.175576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007176, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072394, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261941, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119909, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.09217, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042844, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132372, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.574271, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 152101338, "relative_activity": 1.639998, "balance": 0.574271, "dry_up": 1.338383, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121172, "annualized_volatility": 0.453592, "from_high_reference": -0.236412, "from_low_reference": 0.402597 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.156876, "fair_value_reference": 13.693197, "structural_low": 14.21, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.094693, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.119435, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.421103, "worst_return": -0.05875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.092094, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.015979, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.62435, "worst_return": -0.215625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.086353, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009353, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.601457, "worst_return": -0.29125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.169081, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.124585, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.354764, "worst_return": -0.016601, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.034504, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.065737, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.188971, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", 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13.582499, "relative_strength": 7.968882, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.454934, "energy": 23.981094, "activity_lines": [ 16.773891, 17.645449, 17.876488, 17.605366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.450001, "volume": 99119049, "typical_volume": 91364271.1, "trend": 17.019209, "fair_value": 13.634608, "relative_strength": 7.231606, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.714175, "energy": 26.605328, "activity_lines": [ 16.638139, 17.341881, 17.745029, 17.575309 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.280001, "volume": 152101338, "typical_volume": 92744847.5, "trend": 17.156876, "fair_value": 13.693197, "relative_strength": 9.217025, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.630896, "energy": 18.899079, "activity_lines": [ 16.813959, 17.195585, 17.700714, 17.592135 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }