{ "ticker": { "uuid": "987f8b90-6925-4954-a057-0830b3cdc2a8", "symbol": "MSA", "name": "Mineros S.A.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.36, "architecture_energy": 75.021, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.623, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.52, "rotation_up": 76.31, "upward_expansion": 90.44, "deceleration": 44.7, "rotation_down": 12.19, "downward_expansion": 14.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.210839, 6.906895, 6.379704, 6.162541 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.94, "trend_reference": 6.102525, "distance_from_trend": 0.301101, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.669216, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.974656, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 28.936832, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.203388, "excess_performance": 0.082967, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.301101, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063692, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.974656, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.334806, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.289368, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138356, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.203388, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.414236, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 921900, "relative_activity": 1.000798, "balance": 1.414236, "dry_up": 0.943343, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08713, "annualized_volatility": 0.652998, "from_high_reference": -0.031707, "from_low_reference": 2.088118 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.102525, "fair_value_reference": 2.669216, "structural_low": 4.35232, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.121432, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.110309, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.121432, "worst_return": 0.121432, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.371757, "energy": 46.690635, "activity_lines": [ 6.519055, 6.314351, 5.90968, 5.901782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.07, "volume": 1127500, "typical_volume": 1124910.0, "trend": 5.989899, "fair_value": 2.579753, "relative_strength": 21.296968, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.460566, "energy": 52.116987, "activity_lines": [ 6.694327, 6.494593, 6.046689, 5.974335 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.01, "volume": 776000, "typical_volume": 1014855.0, "trend": 6.042909, "fair_value": 2.621605, "relative_strength": 19.255057, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.533595, "energy": 40.577595, "activity_lines": [ 6.821102, 6.629199, 6.172849, 6.040148 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.94, "volume": 921900, "typical_volume": 921165.0, "trend": 6.102525, "fair_value": 2.669216, "relative_strength": 28.936832, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.36033, "energy": 75.020964, "activity_lines": [ 7.210839, 6.906895, 6.379704, 6.162541 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }