{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9881f81b-838e-45d3-b90e-a26460af1680", "symbol": "RSSS", "name": "Research Solutions Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.829, "architecture_energy": 45.051, "architecture_maturity": 28.328, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.45, "rotation_up": 16.95, "upward_expansion": 7.73, "deceleration": 42.59, "rotation_down": 55.98, "downward_expansion": 81.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.195333, 2.233091, 2.289, 2.330065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.16, "trend_reference": 2.411, "distance_from_trend": -0.104106, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.81391, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.472698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.169231, "excess_performance": -0.356684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.104106, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093495, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.232385, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16034, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.314727, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067269, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169231, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.381066, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 112556, "relative_activity": 0.408906, "balance": 0.381066, "dry_up": 0.516264, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100068, "annualized_volatility": 0.25508, "from_high_reference": -0.475728, "from_low_reference": 0.08 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.411, "fair_value_reference": 2.81391, "structural_low": 2.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.002825, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014367, "regime_survival": 0.863636, "best_return": 0.104712, "worst_return": -0.161137, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.071395, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.098487, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.039216, "worst_return": -0.146718, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.076885, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.096852, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.619608, "worst_return": -0.219081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.143646, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.104377, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.059233, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.192029, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.101093, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-19", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.683983, "energy": 20.380352, "activity_lines": [ 2.304667, 2.296727, 2.353381, 2.402043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.21, "volume": 131360, "typical_volume": 292938.05, "trend": 2.483667, "fair_value": 2.813269, "relative_strength": -28.604931, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.254391, "energy": 27.67172, "activity_lines": [ 2.272667, 2.276727, 2.337952, 2.382925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.2, "volume": 116183, "typical_volume": 287904.15, "trend": 2.46, "fair_value": 2.814231, "relative_strength": -27.248352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.089646, "energy": 29.763939, "activity_lines": [ 2.245333, 2.262, 2.322095, 2.364624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.2, "volume": 208331, "typical_volume": 287419.9, "trend": 2.435667, "fair_value": 2.81391, "relative_strength": -27.137302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.632892, "energy": 36.974465, "activity_lines": [ 2.224, 2.250727, 2.30719, 2.347849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.16, "volume": 112556, "typical_volume": 275261.5, "trend": 2.411, "fair_value": 2.81391, "relative_strength": -31.472698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.828696, "energy": 45.051301, "activity_lines": [ 2.195333, 2.233091, 2.289, 2.330065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }