{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "98826531-4818-4d7f-b9b1-891b0efdca1b",
    "symbol": "DUK",
    "name": "Duke Energy Corporation",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.812,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 65.192,
    "architecture_energy": 67.58,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.639,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.001,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.84,
        "rotation_up": 74.79,
        "upward_expansion": 48.17,
        "deceleration": 52.7,
        "rotation_down": 16.0,
        "downward_expansion": 22.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2222.508008,
        2193.009477,
        2190.871731,
        2200.396361
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2267.97998,
    "trend_reference": 2197.126286,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.032248,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2040.007749,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.111751,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.253484,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.059367,
    "excess_performance": 0.114034,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032248,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021068,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111751,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023641,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012535,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135975,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059367,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.970149,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.970149,
      "dry_up": 3.081664,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.005766,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.183514,
      "from_high_reference": -0.049688,
      "from_low_reference": 0.092505
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2197.126286,
      "fair_value_reference": 2040.007749,
      "structural_low": 2136.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.007053,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04257,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.102918,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.071369,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053956,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.005677,
        "worst_return": -0.110479,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.131772,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.103618,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.300046,
        "worst_return": -0.036502,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.505224,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.58389,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.505224,
        "worst_return": 0.505224,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016595,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
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        "return": 0.000453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "return": -0.043145,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2267.97998,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 37.45,
        "trend": 2192.290251,
        "fair_value": 2035.437832,
        "relative_strength": -1.610064,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.585327,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2267.97998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 32.45,
        "trend": 2197.126286,
        "fair_value": 2040.007749,
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        "stage": 3,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}