{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "98927d28-7a05-468d-9751-48573eaf7d90",
    "symbol": "RFI",
    "name": "Cohen & Steers Total Return Realty Fund Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 52.303,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.868,
    "architecture_energy": 58.818,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.491,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.496,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.95,
        "rotation_up": 68.1,
        "upward_expansion": 87.75,
        "deceleration": 43.11,
        "rotation_down": 11.6,
        "downward_expansion": 12.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.561338,
        11.462588,
        11.373243,
        11.320991
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.6,
    "trend_reference": 11.249647,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.031144,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.479912,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.10688,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.145724,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049615,
    "excess_performance": -0.07601,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031144,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022219,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10688,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01346,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071457,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003266,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049615,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.331677,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 480641,
      "relative_activity": 0.996253,
      "balance": 1.331677,
      "dry_up": 1.045088,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028209,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.172233,
      "from_high_reference": -0.016115,
      "from_low_reference": 0.117736
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.249647,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.479912,
      "structural_low": 10.557974,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.007974,
        "positive_rate": 0.541667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.541667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014877,
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        "worst_return": -0.081605,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.04519,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "energy": 18.117924,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 476069.8,
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        "fair_value": 10.418344,
        "relative_strength": -7.877044,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 21.270712,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.48,
        "volume": 452723,
        "typical_volume": 477527.3,
        "trend": 11.147602,
        "fair_value": 10.432414,
        "relative_strength": -5.176404,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.684429,
        "energy": 43.001922,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.240414
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.7,
        "volume": 445298,
        "typical_volume": 471701.9,
        "trend": 11.186229,
        "fair_value": 10.448349,
        "relative_strength": -2.576748,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.558683,
        "energy": 62.574925,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.507347,
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          11.276053
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.5,
        "volume": 638142,
        "typical_volume": 480262.6,
        "trend": 11.21723,
        "fair_value": 10.46376,
        "relative_strength": -5.001527,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.056904,
        "energy": 56.905163,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.523995,
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          11.339917,
          11.296296
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.6,
        "volume": 480641,
        "typical_volume": 482448.55,
        "trend": 11.249647,
        "fair_value": 10.479912,
        "relative_strength": -7.145724,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.86816,
        "energy": 58.817673,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.561338,
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          11.320991
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}