{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9896ce1a-aca8-4957-b260-8b74706a9d62", "symbol": "300451", "name": "B-SOFT Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.538, "architecture_energy": 44.979, "architecture_maturity": 99.015, "architecture_confidence": 94.231, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.43, "rotation_up": 27.58, "upward_expansion": 19.82, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 42.0, "downward_expansion": 69.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.464, 3.412, 3.641571, 3.941441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.63, "trend_reference": 4.401, "distance_from_trend": -0.175187, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.057936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.282316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.392048, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.330258, "excess_performance": -0.337658, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175187, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106759, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.282316, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112767, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.25392, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04181, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.330258, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.528169, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 161232640, "relative_activity": 1.407933, "balance": 0.528169, "dry_up": 1.438717, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085399, "annualized_volatility": 0.325823, "from_high_reference": -0.480687, "from_low_reference": 0.170968 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.401, "fair_value_reference": 5.057936, "structural_low": 3.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.010848, "positive_rate": 0.53125, "directional_follow_through": 0.46875, "median_excess_return": 0.003177, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.277641, "worst_return": -0.258467, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.082515, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.017372, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.590214, "worst_return": -0.224983, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.074878, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023084, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.282879, "worst_return": -0.359703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 112685735.6, "trend": 4.548667, "fair_value": 5.136285, "relative_strength": -31.976169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.991381, "energy": 66.757524, "activity_lines": [ 3.325333, 3.446182, 3.80919, 4.142366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.16, "volume": 127051135, "typical_volume": 110158126.25, "trend": 4.484333, "fair_value": 5.108971, "relative_strength": -34.550845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.670639, "energy": 67.876496, "activity_lines": [ 3.27, 3.365091, 3.717048, 4.052774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.57, "volume": 160744576, "typical_volume": 112173142.4, "trend": 4.441333, "fair_value": 5.082749, "relative_strength": -23.907626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.788854, "energy": 56.600956, "activity_lines": [ 3.371333, 3.378364, 3.673095, 3.993785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.63, "volume": 161232640, "typical_volume": 114517233.0, "trend": 4.401, "fair_value": 5.057936, "relative_strength": -25.392048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.537855, "energy": 44.978905, "activity_lines": [ 3.464, 3.412, 3.641571, 3.941441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }