{ "ticker": { "uuid": "989907d3-e5d0-4023-86e4-5de7fb44ecbc", "symbol": "MWRD", "name": "Amundi Core MSCI World UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 77.794, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.953, "architecture_energy": 84.559, "architecture_maturity": 37.533, "architecture_confidence": 74.668, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.31, "rotation_up": 74.09, "upward_expansion": 93.39, "deceleration": 45.96, "rotation_down": 12.49, "downward_expansion": 20.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 184.871998, 182.883633, 180.757046, 177.460988 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 185.380005, "trend_reference": 173.388666, "distance_from_trend": 0.069159, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 150.329152, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.233161, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.872167, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.107407, "excess_performance": 0.064317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069159, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03537, "read": "Rising" 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"invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.004647, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.007587, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.019177, "worst_return": -0.024355, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.043439, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011478, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.105689, "worst_return": -0.01881, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.084891, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.021221, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.084891, "worst_return": 0.084891, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.390227, "energy": 70.594601, "activity_lines": [ 181.758662, 180.683269, 178.838093, 175.658708 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 187.399994, "volume": 6619, "typical_volume": 15892.25, "trend": 172.761332, "fair_value": 150.029572, "relative_strength": 2.473429, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.284308, "energy": 73.76468, "activity_lines": [ 183.861328, 182.040359, 179.969236, 176.64688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 185.380005, "volume": 3667, "typical_volume": 15913.05, "trend": 173.388666, "fair_value": 150.329152, "relative_strength": 0.872167, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.953483, "energy": 84.559247, "activity_lines": [ 184.871998, 182.883633, 180.757046, 177.460988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }