{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98a1dec5-559b-4a33-8d4f-b413d4e3d70f", "symbol": "LINV", "name": "LendInvest plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 46.206, "architecture_energy": 55.566, "architecture_maturity": 25.846, "architecture_confidence": 77.827, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.81, "rotation_up": 76.68, "upward_expansion": 48.78, "deceleration": 40.09, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 21.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.296667, 0.278182, 0.266686, 0.270514 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.31, "trend_reference": 0.2832, "distance_from_trend": 0.094633, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.305311, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015358, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.937541, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.101449, "excess_performance": -0.152685, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094633, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104836, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.015358, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.249097, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119375, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19573, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.101449, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.399458, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1213478, "relative_activity": 1.59258, "balance": 2.399458, "dry_up": 2.282714, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055861, "annualized_volatility": 0.289301, "from_high_reference": -0.243902, "from_low_reference": 0.319149 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.2832, "fair_value_reference": 0.305311, "structural_low": 0.235, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.009091, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.018474, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.087432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.052632, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.040403, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.145455, "worst_return": -0.213114, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.070175, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.071613, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.514759, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2026-07-03", "close": 0.245, "volume": 1871957, "typical_volume": 418823.65, "trend": 0.2947, "fair_value": 0.310252, "relative_strength": -32.446873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.31548, "energy": 65.173129, "activity_lines": [ 0.245, 0.247073, 0.255471, 0.27117 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.245, "volume": 412803, "typical_volume": 436966.8, "trend": 0.290367, "fair_value": 0.308797, "relative_strength": -30.52377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.885311, "energy": 61.390221, "activity_lines": [ 0.245, 0.246327, 0.253348, 0.267963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.285, "volume": 2386839, "typical_volume": 543831.9, "trend": 0.2887, "fair_value": 0.307658, "relative_strength": -19.256165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.70221, "energy": 14.888445, "activity_lines": [ 0.258333, 0.253036, 0.255414, 0.267617 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.295, "volume": 1403477, "typical_volume": 607765.45, "trend": 0.2867, "fair_value": 0.306763, "relative_strength": -16.531955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 17.691318, "energy": 28.519539, "activity_lines": [ 0.272333, 0.261018, 0.258529, 0.268024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3, "volume": 1953527, "typical_volume": 703214.15, "trend": 0.2847, "fair_value": 0.30593, "relative_strength": -15.220781, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 25.553051, "energy": 43.522888, "activity_lines": [ 0.284667, 0.269127, 0.262143, 0.268882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.31, "volume": 1213478, "typical_volume": 761957.2, "trend": 0.2832, "fair_value": 0.305311, "relative_strength": -11.937541, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.205796, "energy": 55.565585, "activity_lines": [ 0.296667, 0.278182, 0.266686, 0.270514 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }