{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98abcc54-74f8-496e-b638-9bf421dcf52a", "symbol": "600805", "name": "Jiangsu Yueda Investment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.463, "architecture_energy": 49.142, "architecture_maturity": 86.713, "architecture_confidence": 64.591, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.8, "rotation_up": 26.85, "upward_expansion": 20.05, "deceleration": 66.97, "rotation_down": 45.68, "downward_expansion": 70.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.254691, 4.252806, 4.485036, 4.724539 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.34, "trend_reference": 5.043011, "distance_from_trend": -0.139403, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.643282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.065316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.057296, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.235915, "excess_performance": -0.192712, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139403, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073721, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.065316, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.202848, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.160573, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054403, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235915, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.674362, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48513357, "relative_activity": 1.109311, "balance": 0.674362, "dry_up": 0.861399, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062108, "annualized_volatility": 0.26404, "from_high_reference": -0.331865, "from_low_reference": 0.08734 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.043011, "fair_value_reference": 4.643282, "structural_low": 3.991392, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.031805, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.038016, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.117885, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.036211, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.054109, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.280654, "worst_return": -0.017032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.074519, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.129829, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.354167, "worst_return": -0.182482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 73.58724, "activity_lines": [ 4.170849, 4.269545, 4.580991, 4.825659 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.29, "volume": 30202750, "typical_volume": 47025467.15, "trend": 5.079344, "fair_value": 4.643312, "relative_strength": -15.221309, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.161949, "energy": 61.151187, "activity_lines": [ 4.210741, 4.251175, 4.527419, 4.772239 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.34, "volume": 48513357, "typical_volume": 43732875.1, "trend": 5.043011, "fair_value": 4.643282, "relative_strength": -16.057296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.463107, "energy": 49.14236, "activity_lines": [ 4.254691, 4.252806, 4.485036, 4.724539 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }