{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "98afb64d-3423-4ce4-a307-d40953c96e03",
    "symbol": "TSBK",
    "name": "Timberland Bancorp Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.489,
    "architecture_energy": 46.744,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.599,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.204,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.71,
        "rotation_up": 53.8,
        "upward_expansion": 77.07,
        "deceleration": 60.63,
        "rotation_down": 20.88,
        "downward_expansion": 6.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.494667,
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        42.926673,
        41.940689
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 45.22,
    "trend_reference": 40.593795,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.113963,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.877641,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.46449,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.758598,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.157657,
    "excess_performance": -0.029796,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113963,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081776,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.46449,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065874,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057586,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065033,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157657,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.259438,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 218724,
      "relative_activity": 1.216888,
      "balance": 3.259438,
      "dry_up": 1.051786,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.050734,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158997,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023115,
      "from_low_reference": 0.495608
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.593795,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.877641,
      "structural_low": 36.4423,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.006641,
        "positive_rate": 0.518519,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00225,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.181721,
        "worst_return": -0.189096,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "worst_return": -0.206401,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.103453,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.06042,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 1.527974,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 170714.8,
        "trend": 39.647643,
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        "relative_strength": 7.417876,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 59.8952,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.8,
        "volume": 198731,
        "typical_volume": 174292.55,
        "trend": 39.930767,
        "fair_value": 30.656921,
        "relative_strength": 8.968537,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 56.192372,
        "energy": 40.778909,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.83,
        "volume": 178261,
        "typical_volume": 176297.0,
        "trend": 40.264324,
        "fair_value": 30.764491,
        "relative_strength": 10.532263,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.496778,
        "energy": 41.326694,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.096667,
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          42.582641,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.22,
        "volume": 218724,
        "typical_volume": 179740.5,
        "trend": 40.593795,
        "fair_value": 30.877641,
        "relative_strength": 5.758598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.488805,
        "energy": 46.744109,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}