{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98c78d45-2e12-4495-9a01-0465f2c1b454", "symbol": "CORALFINAC", "name": "Coral India Finance and Housing Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.351, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.455, "architecture_energy": 5.982, "architecture_maturity": 9.99, "architecture_confidence": 68.061, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.25, "rotation_up": 24.99, "upward_expansion": 32.87, "deceleration": 35.67, "rotation_down": 29.39, "downward_expansion": 41.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.894666, 32.723999, 32.692666, 32.693183 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 32.82, "trend_reference": 33.099, "distance_from_trend": -0.008429, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.887224, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.252174, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.037458, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044263, "excess_performance": -0.000554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008429, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068404, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.252174, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034858, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100375, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00955, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044263, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.226682, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 794238, "relative_activity": 6.068488, "balance": 1.226682, "dry_up": 3.022781, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090306, "annualized_volatility": 0.364272, "from_high_reference": -0.355206, "from_low_reference": 0.312275 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.099, "fair_value_reference": 43.887224, "structural_low": 25.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.030819, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.035408, "regime_survival": 0.52381, "best_return": 0.203375, "worst_return": -0.208639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.055918, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.019592, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.215449, "worst_return": -0.183014, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.095182, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.11243, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.603325, "worst_return": -0.233631, 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false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097748, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097469, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0948, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.174541, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.034417, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", 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32.226666, 32.251818, 32.459952, 32.963591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 33.939999, "volume": 281520, "typical_volume": 65936.85, "trend": 34.031667, "fair_value": 43.943541, "relative_strength": -7.833336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.767079, "energy": 9.120267, "activity_lines": [ 32.842666, 32.504545, 32.596047, 32.946129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.74, "volume": 53700, "typical_volume": 65467.3, "trend": 33.772667, "fair_value": 43.923769, "relative_strength": -13.741533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.241223, "energy": 14.595156, "activity_lines": [ 32.613333, 32.363273, 32.523238, 32.798279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.5, "volume": 259726, "typical_volume": 75483.75, "trend": 33.505667, "fair_value": 43.912021, "relative_strength": -8.929334, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.579718, "energy": 12.652825, "activity_lines": [ 32.619333, 32.409091, 32.532619, 32.716172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.599998, "volume": 474811, "typical_volume": 94660.1, "trend": 33.270667, "fair_value": 43.907956, "relative_strength": -7.72847, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.830487, "energy": 7.015703, "activity_lines": [ 32.951999, 32.654727, 32.654238, 32.722258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.82, "volume": 794238, "typical_volume": 130879.05, "trend": 33.099, "fair_value": 43.887224, "relative_strength": -10.037458, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.455193, "energy": 5.982356, "activity_lines": [ 32.894666, 32.723999, 32.692666, 32.693183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }