{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98cdd56d-9e3e-48ff-a053-7c02a4054837", "symbol": "T82U", "name": "Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.722, "architecture_energy": 48.34, "architecture_maturity": 5.841, "architecture_confidence": 72.856, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.47, "rotation_up": 59.38, "upward_expansion": 80.15, "deceleration": 50.59, "rotation_down": 11.34, "downward_expansion": 9.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.485368, 1.472005, 1.466674, 1.459435 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.48, "trend_reference": 1.446714, "distance_from_trend": 0.023008, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.164588, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.270835, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.069137, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.026953, "excess_performance": -0.127882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023008, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02491, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.270835, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034534, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100691, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147553, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.026953, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.718602, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35018000, "relative_activity": 1.145212, "balance": 1.718602, "dry_up": 1.168499, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033668, "annualized_volatility": 0.183768, "from_high_reference": -0.032677, "from_low_reference": 0.262712 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.446714, "fair_value_reference": 1.164588, "structural_low": 1.293092, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.010528, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.002063, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.092438, "worst_return": -0.106244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.026953, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.014422, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.10292, "worst_return": -0.093484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.018349, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.124981, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.20974, "worst_return": -0.195874, 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1.458942, 1.450311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.5, "volume": 35027700, "typical_volume": 49684365.5, "trend": 1.439534, "fair_value": 1.159315, "relative_strength": -7.23687, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.522368, "energy": 47.288123, "activity_lines": [ 1.480263, 1.464808, 1.463508, 1.454445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.48, "volume": 30679600, "typical_volume": 47993165.5, "trend": 1.443124, "fair_value": 1.161924, "relative_strength": -9.080498, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.725783, "energy": 46.777497, "activity_lines": [ 1.484123, 1.468588, 1.465418, 1.457056 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.48, "volume": 35018000, "typical_volume": 30577735.0, "trend": 1.446714, "fair_value": 1.164588, "relative_strength": -10.069137, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.722237, "energy": 48.340334, "activity_lines": [ 1.485368, 1.472005, 1.466674, 1.459435 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }