{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98d4181c-5866-4fcd-bd50-28032099ce39", "symbol": "SBC", "name": "SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.207, "architecture_energy": 35.544, "architecture_maturity": 52.068, "architecture_confidence": 92.492, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.73, "rotation_up": 26.22, "upward_expansion": 4.66, "deceleration": 53.82, "rotation_down": 44.51, "downward_expansion": 77.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.056667, 3.080182, 3.15419, 3.334194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.06, "trend_reference": 3.613, "distance_from_trend": -0.153058, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.447731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.312009, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.110599, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.325991, "excess_performance": -0.513445, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153058, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07089, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.312009, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004881, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.301106, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068685, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325991, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.072324, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 415031, "relative_activity": 0.71747, "balance": 1.072324, "dry_up": 0.605391, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106209, "annualized_volatility": 0.583033, "from_high_reference": -0.39645, "from_low_reference": 0.100719 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.613, "fair_value_reference": 4.447731, "structural_low": 2.78, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.001629, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.015604, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.003257, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.128788, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.20241, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066038, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.003257, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 5.5445, "volume": 316659, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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"typical_volume": 552370.55, "trend": 3.701333, "fair_value": 4.476344, "relative_strength": -27.659334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.64679, "energy": 37.717981, "activity_lines": [ 3.088667, 3.090545, 3.216857, 3.414215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.06, "volume": 406003, "typical_volume": 567438.75, "trend": 3.659, "fair_value": 4.461892, "relative_strength": -27.348027, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.431816, "energy": 39.157201, "activity_lines": [ 3.064667, 3.085273, 3.184333, 3.372839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.06, "volume": 415031, "typical_volume": 578464.85, "trend": 3.613, "fair_value": 4.447731, "relative_strength": -30.110599, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.207391, "energy": 35.54351, "activity_lines": [ 3.056667, 3.080182, 3.15419, 3.334194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }