{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98e369c1-7c78-4b54-987d-49ec07660a80", "symbol": "UMS", "name": "Unique Mining Services Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.525, "architecture_energy": 19.659, "architecture_maturity": 75.822, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.54, "rotation_up": 21.39, "upward_expansion": 53.42, "deceleration": 93.88, "rotation_down": 27.06, "downward_expansion": 19.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.676, 0.739636, 0.652286, 0.557591 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.68, "trend_reference": 0.446667, "distance_from_trend": 0.522388, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.466282, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.458345, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 65.501972, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.615385, "excess_performance": 1.42306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.522388, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.709184, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.458345, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.933364, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.65502, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.815939, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.615385, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.190191, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20984100, "relative_activity": 1.214491, "balance": 3.190191, "dry_up": 2.056426, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.330317, "annualized_volatility": 1.884913, "from_high_reference": -0.492537, "from_low_reference": 1.615385 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.446667, "fair_value_reference": 0.466282, "structural_low": 0.26, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.123992, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.111403, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.385965, "worst_return": -0.137931, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.086388, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.045633, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.319328, "worst_return": -0.146552, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.078782, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.161988, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092437, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.229517, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.234609, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.084034, "worst_return": -0.625, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2022-05-13", "end": "2022-07-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074766, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2022-07-15", "end": "2022-08-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.387931, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2022-09-02", "end": "2022-09-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.121739, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-09-16", "end": "2022-12-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.216, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-12-09", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.678756, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.253731, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.16, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.328125, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.28125, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02439, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", 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0.509742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.67, "volume": 22142500, "typical_volume": 15901245.0, "trend": 0.419667, "fair_value": 0.469744, "relative_strength": 65.17071, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.923905, "energy": 31.072041, "activity_lines": [ 0.682667, 0.773636, 0.622619, 0.526774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.65, "volume": 6553100, "typical_volume": 16228900.0, "trend": 0.432667, "fair_value": 0.468013, "relative_strength": 59.727913, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.281001, "energy": 24.186776, "activity_lines": [ 0.662667, 0.757455, 0.636952, 0.541634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.68, "volume": 20984100, "typical_volume": 17278105.0, "trend": 0.446667, "fair_value": 0.466282, "relative_strength": 65.501972, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.52512, "energy": 19.659166, "activity_lines": [ 0.676, 0.739636, 0.652286, 0.557591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }