{ "ticker": { "uuid": "98eb2677-2b0c-418d-baa9-d32c981dde35", "symbol": "GIGA", "name": "Gigasun AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.385, "architecture_energy": 41.281, "architecture_maturity": 21.064, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.34, "rotation_up": 19.06, "upward_expansion": 5.84, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 54.0, "downward_expansion": 79.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.222, 2.241273, 2.336095, 2.357828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.18, "trend_reference": 2.388667, "distance_from_trend": -0.087357, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.685481, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.40849, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.49737, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.120968, "excess_performance": -0.182462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087357, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061059, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.40849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087158, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244974, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.253022, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120968, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.171566, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84763, "relative_activity": 1.363431, "balance": 0.171566, "dry_up": 1.021045, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075159, "annualized_volatility": 0.32666, "from_high_reference": -0.433766, "from_low_reference": 0.038095 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.388667, "fair_value_reference": 3.685481, "structural_low": 2.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.033605, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": -0.041736, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.315175, "worst_return": -0.309917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.173962, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.168426, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.320675, "worst_return": -0.502479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.127127, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.170312, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.047009, "worst_return": -0.587671, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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2.407667, "fair_value": 3.777981, "relative_strength": -18.428855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.919514, "energy": 37.451936, "activity_lines": [ 2.267333, 2.284182, 2.37481, 2.386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.19, "volume": 102782, "typical_volume": 60575.95, "trend": 2.399, "fair_value": 3.734647, "relative_strength": -23.225903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.382281, "energy": 36.827192, "activity_lines": [ 2.242, 2.260364, 2.355857, 2.371957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.18, "volume": 84763, "typical_volume": 62168.9, "trend": 2.388667, "fair_value": 3.685481, "relative_strength": -24.49737, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.385338, "energy": 41.28085, "activity_lines": [ 2.222, 2.241273, 2.336095, 2.357828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }