{ "ticker": { "uuid": "990147d4-11fa-45b8-a27e-831d1a238534", "symbol": "DPWIRES", "name": "D.P. Wires Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.757, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.587, "architecture_energy": 24.069, "architecture_maturity": 12.832, "architecture_confidence": 66.459, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.0, "rotation_up": 14.67, "upward_expansion": 15.0, "deceleration": 65.94, "rotation_down": 57.92, "downward_expansion": 40.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 168.374664, 175.048179, 177.428093, 173.598987 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 167.029999, "trend_reference": 170.153665, "distance_from_trend": -0.018358, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 341.147955, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.510388, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.151273, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.006265, "excess_performance": 0.049975, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018358, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054287, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.510388, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013264, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.131513, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040646, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006265, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.225939, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27908, "relative_activity": 0.268439, "balance": 1.225939, "dry_up": 0.337148, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098518, "annualized_volatility": 0.57947, "from_high_reference": -0.45584, "from_low_reference": 0.336026 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 170.153665, "fair_value_reference": 341.147955, "structural_low": 125.019997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.016851, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.005237, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.493614, "worst_return": -0.145991, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.149968, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.120209, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.604001, "worst_return": -0.262219, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.27264, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.145302, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.543082, "worst_return": -0.221215, 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177.443269, 178.099331, 173.855762 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 167.029999, "volume": 27908, "typical_volume": 103964.05, "trend": 170.153665, "fair_value": 341.147955, "relative_strength": -13.151273, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.58719, "energy": 24.069365, "activity_lines": [ 168.374664, 175.048179, 177.428093, 173.598987 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }