{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9901b595-3c28-4d24-8566-f78af3cdb43d",
    "symbol": "LGGM",
    "name": "L&G Emerging Markets Quality Dividends Equal Weight ETF USD Dis",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 74.903,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 45.854,
    "architecture_energy": 24.636,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.118,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.659,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.01,
        "rotation_up": 34.72,
        "upward_expansion": 59.7,
        "deceleration": 85.17,
        "rotation_down": 26.22,
        "downward_expansion": 18.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.607867,
        11.627416,
        11.562014,
        11.420518
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 11.71,
    "trend_reference": 11.21948,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04372,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.147154,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.28018,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.615128,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.085247,
    "excess_performance": 0.020607,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04372,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047854,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28018,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028644,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016151,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119503,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085247,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.103397,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 47165,
      "relative_activity": 2.144678,
      "balance": 1.103397,
      "dry_up": 1.811506,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026037,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11851,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013812,
      "from_low_reference": 0.245495
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.21948,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.147154,
      "structural_low": 10.449099,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.033953,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009204,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.087631,
        "worst_return": -0.03076,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.070984,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020454,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.092254,
        "worst_return": -0.021286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.094436,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.060269,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.165161,
        "worst_return": 0.015931,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.1142,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.157814,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.142238,
        "worst_return": 0.086162,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033953,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0149,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.033456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033039,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.072323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041204,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013326,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 9.012694,
        "relative_strength": 6.101565,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 17356.65,
        "trend": 11.023167,
        "fair_value": 9.04109,
        "relative_strength": 7.659575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.447929,
        "energy": 53.248548,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.394,
        "volume": 24046,
        "typical_volume": 17829.05,
        "trend": 11.070699,
        "fair_value": 9.067375,
        "relative_strength": 5.674137,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.474572,
        "energy": 33.562359,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.609915,
          11.480104,
          11.322437
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.626,
        "volume": 14866,
        "typical_volume": 16686.0,
        "trend": 11.12649,
        "fair_value": 9.092966,
        "relative_strength": 6.297057,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.914728,
        "energy": 30.316999,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.358263
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.556,
        "volume": 73275,
        "typical_volume": 20063.9,
        "trend": 11.174559,
        "fair_value": 9.119202,
        "relative_strength": 3.224774,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.980831,
        "energy": 22.09841,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.574,
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          11.530815,
          11.385973
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.71,
        "volume": 47165,
        "typical_volume": 21991.65,
        "trend": 11.21948,
        "fair_value": 9.147154,
        "relative_strength": 1.615128,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.854391,
        "energy": 24.635988,
        "activity_lines": [
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          11.562014,
          11.420518
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}